ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

53
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ASO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has a slight edge over ASO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ASO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$39.11-42%
Fair8.2x$48.95-27%
Expensive9.6x$57.29-15%
Forward9.7x$67.29—
Current11x$67.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASO has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ASO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over ASO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ASO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$81.62
Downside-29%$47.52

Calculated from the latest close: $67.29 on Nov 12.

ASO trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+16%
Q3 2026$5.98+12%
Q2 2026$5.66+4%
Q1 2026$5.54-4%
Q4 2025$5.47-10%
Q3 2025$5.34-18%
Q2 2025$5.44-17%
Q1 2025$5.77-14%
Q4 2024$6.09-6%

ASO earned $5.98 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over ASO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+6.7%
Q1 2026$1.7B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+3.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.9%
Q1 2025$1.7B-6.6%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.9%

ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over ASO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.1M+432%
Q2 2026$121.7M+14%
Q1 2026$107.2M+40%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-139%
Q3 2025$21.8M-56%
Q2 2025$106.6M-36%
Q1 2025$76.4M-57%
Q4 2024$34.4M+126%

ASO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $331M over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over ASO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.6%-2.4M shares
1 year-6.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-19%-14.5M shares
5 years-34%-32.3M shares
Available history-19%-15M shares

ASO has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ASO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ASO has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ASO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricASOSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %994851 pts above

ASO has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ASO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.016% above
20 week MA$51.730% above
50 week MA$53.626% above
100 week MA$50.932% above
200 week MA$53.725% above

ASO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 25% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

ASO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$20.1+55%
2021$20.1$40.1+99%
2022$40.1$51.4+28%
2023$51.4$66.0+28%
2024$66.0$60.1-9%
2025$60.1$50.9-15%
2026 YTD$50.9$67.3+32%

ASO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 32% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ASO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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