ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
ASO has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ASO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $39.11 | -42% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $48.95 | -27% |
| Expensive | 9.6x | $57.29 | -15% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $67.29 | — |
| Current | 11x | $67.29 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over ASO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ASO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over ASO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ASO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.94 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.98 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.66 | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | -4% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.47 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.34 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.44 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.77 | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.09 | -6% |
ASO earned $5.98 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over ASO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +3.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -3.9% |
ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.2% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | -3 points |
ASO has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over ASO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ASO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116.1M | +432% |
| Q2 2026 | $121.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $107.2M | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.6M | -139% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.8M | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.4M | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.4M | +126% |
ASO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
ASO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -6.1% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -19% | -14.5M shares |
| 5 years | -34% | -32.3M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -15M shares |
ASO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $98.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $99.9M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $99M |
| Q1 2025 | $91.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $53.4M |
ASO spent $280M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ASO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
ASO has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ASO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ASO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 99 | 48 | 51 pts above |
ASO has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $58.0 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $51.7 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $53.6 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $50.9 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.7 | 25% above |
ASO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
ASO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.0 | $20.1 | +55% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $40.1 | +99% |
| 2022 | $40.1 | $51.4 | +28% |
| 2023 | $51.4 | $66.0 | +28% |
| 2024 | $66.0 | $60.1 | -9% |
| 2025 | $60.1 | $50.9 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $50.9 | $67.3 | +32% |
ASO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.