ARWR

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

25
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ARWR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ARWR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ARWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Strong

ARWR's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are weak.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARWR PE Valuation

ARWR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ARWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ARWR's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ARWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$67.51
Downside-30%$32.85

Calculated from the latest close: $47.15 on Nov 12.

ARWR trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARWR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ARWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.77Q1 2024: $-4.24Q2 2024: $-4.66Q3 2024: $-5.00Q4 2024: $-5.15Q1 2025: $-1.38Q2 2025: $-1.26Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.18Q3 2026: $-5.11
Q4 2023: $-2.77Q1 2024: $-4.24Q2 2024: $-4.66Q3 2024: $-5.00Q4 2024: $-5.15Q1 2025: $-1.38Q2 2025: $-1.26Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.18Q3 2026: $-5.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$5.11-$5.10
Q2 2026-$2.18-$0.92
Q1 2026-$2.08-$0.70
Q4 2025$1.60+$6.75
Q3 2025-$0.01+$4.99
Q2 2025-$1.26+$3.40
Q1 2025-$1.38+$2.86
Q4 2024-$5.15-$2.38

ARWR lost $5.11 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ARWR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ARWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $543MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $543MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $256MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.8M-85%
Q2 2026$75.3M+171%
Q1 2026$73.7M-86%
Q4 2025$264M+10461%
Q4 2024$2.5M-30%
Q4 2023$3.6M-94%
Q3 2023$16.1M-49%
Q2 2023$15.8M-51%

ARWR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $38M last quarter, down 85% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ARWR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$186MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$130MQ3 2024: −$162MQ4 2024: −$154MQ1 2025: $455MQ2 2025: −$157MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: −$181MQ3 2026: −$196M
Q4 2023: −$186MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$130MQ3 2024: −$162MQ4 2024: −$154MQ1 2025: $455MQ2 2025: −$157MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: −$181MQ3 2026: −$196M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$195.8M-1606%
Q2 2026-$181.3M-$24.2M
Q1 2026$81.9M-82%
Q4 2025$11.3M+$165.1M
Q3 2025$13M+$174.5M
Q2 2025-$157.1M-$27.2M
Q1 2025$454.8M+$581.2M
Q4 2024-$153.8M+$32.7M

ARWR has burned cash in most quarters: −$284M over the past year, against $157M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ARWR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ARWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 134MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1.7M shares
1 year+5.9%+7.9M shares
3 years+33%+34.9M shares
5 years+37%+37.9M shares
Available history+46%+44.5M shares

ARWR has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ARWR Net Leverage

Q3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.0x
Q3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2020-51.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-9.3xNet Cash

ARWR has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

ARWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.8Oversold
Stochastic6.6Oversold

ARWR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ARWR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricARWRSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

ARWR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ARWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.020% below
20 week MA$73.035% below
50 week MA$70.033% below
100 week MA$46.12.3% above
200 week MA$37.127% above

ARWR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ARWR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.9$84.2+30%
2021$84.2$70.3-17%
2022$70.3$38.3-45%
2023$38.3$30.6-20%
2024$30.6$19.0-38%
2025$19.0$70.2+270%
2026 YTD$70.2$47.2-33%

ARWR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +270% in 2025 to −45% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ARWR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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