AROW
Arrow Financial Corporation
AROW has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over AROW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AROW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AROW's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AROW.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
AROW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.3x | $38.68 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $29.38 | -24% |
| Fair | 13x | $33.92 | -12% |
| Expensive | 15x | $39.77 | +2.8% |
| Current | 15x | $38.68 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AROW has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AROW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AROW, but weaker profitability.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AROW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.16 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.64 | +28% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.10 | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.09 | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.07 | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.83 | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.70 | +0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.77 | +1.7% |
AROW earned $2.64 per share over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over AROW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AROW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | $35M | +7.1% |
| Q1 2024 | $34.3M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2023 | $33.1M | -12% |
| Q3 2023 | $33.4M | -14% |
| Q2 2023 | $32.7M | -11% |
| Q1 2023 | $34.8M | -3.4% |
| Q4 2022 | $37.7M | +8.5% |
| Q3 2022 | $38.7M | +6.6% |
GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 7.1% for AROW versus up 23% for GS.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | 41% | N/A |
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS's operating margin was 37% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AROW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.8M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.6M | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.9M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.3M | +77% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.3M | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | +$21M |
AROW has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
AROW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +12% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +2.1M shares |
| 3 years | +8.3% | +1.4M shares |
| 5 years | +8.2% | +1.4M shares |
| Available history | +9.5% | +1.6M shares |
AROW has 18M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1M |
| Q2 2026 | $370,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $113,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $154,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $265,000 |
AROW spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 84% from the year before.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over AROW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
AROW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | 3.1x | Elevated |
AROW's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AROW.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
AROW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.0 | Neutral |
AROW's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AROW PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AROW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 13% above |
| PE % | 77 | 63 | 14 pts above |
AROW is trading at 15x earnings, a 13% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over AROW on valuation relative to its sector.
AROW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.8 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.9 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $36.4 | 6.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.8 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.4 | 36% above |
AROW has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
AROW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.4 | $29.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $29.4 | $34.2 | +17% |
| 2022 | $34.2 | $34.4 | +0.4% |
| 2023 | $34.4 | $27.9 | -19% |
| 2024 | $27.9 | $28.5 | +2% |
| 2025 | $28.5 | $31.5 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $31.5 | $38.7 | +23% |
AROW has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.