AROW

Arrow Financial Corporation

55
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AROW's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 28%, but revenue fell 5.6%. At 15x earnings, it's trading above its usual 13x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

AROW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

AROW's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AROW.

AROW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.1x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.1x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.2x$38.68—
Cheap11x$29.38-24%
Fair13x$33.92-12%
Expensive15x$39.77+2.8%
Current15x$38.68—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AROW's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AROW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AROW, with profitability holding steady.

AROW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$45.03
Downside-13%$33.48

Calculated from the latest close: $38.68 on Nov 12.

AROW's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +16% against −13%.

AROW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.70Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.09Q2 2026: $3.10Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $4.20
Q4 2023: $1.74Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.70Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.09Q2 2026: $3.10Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $4.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.20+59%
Q3 2026$2.64+28%
Q2 2026$3.10+69%
Q1 2026$3.09+82%
Q4 2025$2.65+50%
Q3 2025$2.07+7.3%
Q2 2025$1.83-1.6%
Q1 2025$1.70+0.6%
Q4 2024$1.77+1.7%

AROW earned $2.64 per share over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

AROW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2024$35M+7.1%
Q1 2024$34.3M-1.3%
Q4 2023$33.1M-12%
Q3 2023$33.4M-14%
Q2 2023$32.7M-11%
Q1 2023$34.8M-3.4%
Q4 2022$37.7M+8.5%
Q3 2022$38.7M+6.6%

AROW's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $35M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AROW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.8M+31%
Q2 2026$11.6M+40%
Q1 2026$13.9M+58%
Q4 2025$4.8M+18%
Q3 2025$14.3M+77%
Q2 2025$8.3M+10%
Q1 2025$8.8M-4.3%
Q4 2024$4.1M+$21M

AROW's free cash flow was $49M over the past year, up 38% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AROW.

AROW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+12%+2M shares
1 year+13%+2.1M shares
3 years+8.3%+1.4M shares
5 years+8.2%+1.4M shares
Available history+9.5%+1.6M shares

AROW has 18M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

AROW Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20193.1xElevated

AROW's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AROW.

AROW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic55.0Neutral

AROW's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

AROW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAROWSector medianRelative
PE15x13x13% above
PE %776314 pts above

AROW is trading at 15x earnings, a 13% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AROW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.82.3% above
20 week MA$38.90.5% below
50 week MA$36.46.2% above
100 week MA$31.822% above
200 week MA$28.436% above

AROW's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 36% above its 200-week average.

AROW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.4$29.4-19%
2021$29.4$34.2+17%
2022$34.2$34.4+0.4%
2023$34.4$27.9-19%
2024$27.9$28.5+2%
2025$28.5$31.5+10%
2026 YTD$31.5$38.7+23%

AROW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

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