ARLO
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
ARLO has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ARLO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ARLO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ARLO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $11.83 | — |
| Cheap | 46x | $10.61 | -10% |
| Current | 51x | $11.83 | — |
| Fair | 54x | $12.51 | +5.8% |
| Expensive | 444x | $102 | +763% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARLO has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ARLO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ARLO, with profitability improving.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARLO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.01 | +338% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.23 | +667% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.28 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.28 | +$0.50 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | +$0.45 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.03 | +$0.28 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.07 | +$0.15 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.31 | -$0.07 |
ARLO has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
ARLO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $149.2M | +6.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $155.9M | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $150.4M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $141.3M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $139.5M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $129.4M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $119.1M | -4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $121.6M | -10% |
ARLO's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $149M last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3% | +8.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6% | +4.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5% | -4.6 points |
ARLO's operating margin was 0.7% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ARLO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ARLO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.2M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.9M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +253% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.2M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.8M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.1M | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.6M | -26% |
ARLO has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
ARLO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -215K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +966K shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +16.4M shares |
| 5 years | +32% | +26.8M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +35.5M shares |
ARLO has 111M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $63M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $22.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $18.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $10.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $910,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $15.2M |
ARLO spent $63M buying back its own shares over the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ARLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ARLO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -14.6x | Net Cash |
ARLO has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
ARLO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
ARLO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ARLO PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ARLO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 51x | 24x | 114% above |
| PE % | 42 | 58 | 16 pts below |
ARLO is trading at 51x earnings, a 114% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over ARLO on valuation relative to its sector.
ARLO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.7 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.2 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.8 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.9 | 0.8% below |
ARLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over ARLO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ARLO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.25 | $8.03 | +89% |
| 2021 | $8.03 | $10.2 | +27% |
| 2022 | $10.2 | $3.45 | -66% |
| 2023 | $3.45 | $9.52 | +176% |
| 2024 | $9.52 | $11.5 | +20% |
| 2025 | $11.5 | $14.2 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.2 | $11.8 | -16% |
ARLO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +176% in 2023 to −66% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over ARLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.