ARLO

Arlo Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

ARLO's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 17% and its operating margin went from −0.9% to 2.6%. At 51x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 54x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

ARLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

ARLO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ARLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE129x257x386x514x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE129x257x386x514x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$11.83—
Cheap46x$10.61-10%
Current51x$11.83—
Fair54x$12.51+5.8%
Expensive444x$102+763%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARLO's PE is in its fair range at 51x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ARLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ARLO, with profitability improving.

ARLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$17.73
Downside-28%$8.52

Calculated from the latest close: $11.83 on Nov 12.

ARLO's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +50% against −28%.

ARLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.07Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.28Q3 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.99
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.07Q3 2025: $0.03Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.28Q3 2026: $0.23Forward: $0.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.99+329%
Q3 2026$0.23+667%
Q2 2026$0.28+$0.35
Q1 2026$0.28+$0.50
Q4 2025$0.14+$0.45
Q3 2025$0.03+$0.28
Q2 2025-$0.07+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.22-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.31-$0.07

ARLO earned $0.23 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

ARLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $135MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $129MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $135MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $129MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$149.2M+6.9%
Q2 2026$155.9M+21%
Q1 2026$150.4M+26%
Q4 2025$141.3M+16%
Q3 2025$139.5M+1.4%
Q2 2025$129.4M+1.5%
Q1 2025$119.1M-4.1%
Q4 2024$121.6M-10%

ARLO's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $149M last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.2M+5.4%
Q2 2026$11.4M+29%
Q1 2026$27.9M-0.9%
Q4 2025$19.8M+253%
Q3 2025$19.2M+10%
Q2 2025$8.8M+43%
Q1 2025$28.1M+45%
Q4 2024$5.6M-26%

ARLO generated $79M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

ARLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 93MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 111M
Q4 2023: 93MQ1 2024: 96MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 111M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-215K shares
1 year+0.9%+966K shares
3 years+17%+16.4M shares
5 years+32%+26.8M shares
Available history+47%+35.5M shares

ARLO has 111M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $63M in buybacks over the past year.

ARLO Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -14.6xQ1 2026: -7.7xQ2 2026: -4.5xQ3 2026: -3.2x
Q4 2025: -14.6xQ1 2026: -7.7xQ2 2026: -4.5xQ3 2026: -3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-14.6xNet Cash

ARLO has more cash than debt.

ARLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

ARLO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ARLO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricARLOSector medianRelative
PE51x24x114% above
PE %425816 pts below

ARLO is trading at 51x earnings, a 114% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ARLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.77.1% below
20 week MA$13.211% below
50 week MA$13.412% below
100 week MA$13.814% below
200 week MA$11.90.8% below

ARLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.8% below its 200-week average.

ARLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.25$8.03+89%
2021$8.03$10.2+27%
2022$10.2$3.45-66%
2023$3.45$9.52+176%
2024$9.52$11.5+20%
2025$11.5$14.2+23%
2026 YTD$14.2$11.8-16%

ARLO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +176% in 2023 to −66% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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