ARKO

Arko Corp.

32
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ARKO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over ARKO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ARKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

ARKO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ARKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$0.99-76%
Fair28x$1.70-59%
Forward29x$4.10—
Expensive62x$3.70-9.9%
Current68x$4.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARKO has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ARKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARKO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ARKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$5.11
Downside-40%$2.47

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

ARKO trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARKO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+133%
Q3 2026$0.06-45%
Q2 2026$0.080%
Q1 2026$0.20+567%
Q4 2025$0.15+15%
Q3 2025$0.11-27%
Q2 2025$0.08-68%
Q1 2025$0.03-88%
Q4 2024$0.13-46%

ARKO has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

ARKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+18%
Q2 2026$2.3B+17%
Q1 2026$1.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-9.9%
Q3 2025$2B-11%
Q2 2025$2B-16%
Q1 2025$1.8B-12%
Q4 2024$2B-11%

ARKO's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.5M-147%
Q2 2026$8.9M-9.5%
Q1 2026-$11.6M-173%
Q4 2025$14.9M+$28.3M
Q3 2025$24.5M-69%
Q2 2025$9.8M-83%
Q1 2025$16M+$32.5M
Q4 2024-$13.4M-162%

ARKO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $744,000 over the past year.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-36K shares
1 year+0.6%+644K shares
3 years-3.7%-4.4M shares
5 years-13%-18.1M shares
Available history-74%-326M shares

ARKO has 116M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago, despite $12M in buybacks over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

ARKO's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ARKO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

ARKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricARKOSector medianRelative
PE68x18x279% above
PE %854738 pts above

ARKO has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ARKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.041.5% above
20 week MA$5.2822% below
50 week MA$5.7829% below
100 week MA$5.3523% below
200 week MA$6.2735% below

ARKO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 35% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over ARKO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$9.44-5.9%
2021$9.44$8.52-9.7%
2022$8.52$8.62+1.2%
2023$8.62$8.25-4.3%
2024$8.25$6.53-21%
2025$6.53$4.64-29%
2026 YTD$4.64$4.10-12%

ARKO has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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