ARKO

Arko Corp.

32
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ARKO's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 68x earnings, more than twice its usual 29x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ARKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

ARKO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ARKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$0.99-76%
Fair28x$1.70-59%
Forward29x$4.10—
Expensive62x$3.70-9.9%
Current68x$4.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARKO's PE is in its expensive range at 68x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ARKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARKO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

ARKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$5.11
Downside-40%$2.47

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

ARKO's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −40% against +25%.

ARKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+133%
Q3 2026$0.06-45%
Q2 2026$0.080%
Q1 2026$0.20+567%
Q4 2025$0.15+15%
Q3 2025$0.11-27%
Q2 2025$0.08-68%
Q1 2025$0.03-88%
Q4 2024$0.13-46%

ARKO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.60 in mid-2022.

ARKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+18%
Q2 2026$2.3B+17%
Q1 2026$1.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-9.9%
Q3 2025$2B-11%
Q2 2025$2B-16%
Q1 2025$1.8B-12%
Q4 2024$2B-11%

ARKO's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

ARKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.5M-147%
Q2 2026$8.9M-9.5%
Q1 2026-$11.6M-173%
Q4 2025$14.9M+$28.3M
Q3 2025$24.5M-69%
Q2 2025$9.8M-83%
Q1 2025$16M+$32.5M
Q4 2024-$13.4M-162%

ARKO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $744,000 over the past year.

ARKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-36K shares
1 year+0.6%+644K shares
3 years-3.7%-4.4M shares
5 years-13%-18.1M shares
Available history-74%-326M shares

ARKO has 116M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago, despite $12M in buybacks over the past year.

ARKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

ARKO's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

ARKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ARKO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ARKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricARKOSector medianRelative
PE68x18x279% above
PE %854738 pts above

ARKO is trading at 68x earnings, a 279% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ARKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.041.5% above
20 week MA$5.2822% below
50 week MA$5.7829% below
100 week MA$5.3523% below
200 week MA$6.2735% below

ARKO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 35% below its 200-week average.

ARKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$9.44-5.9%
2021$9.44$8.52-9.7%
2022$8.52$8.62+1.2%
2023$8.62$8.25-4.3%
2024$8.25$6.53-21%
2025$6.53$4.64-29%
2026 YTD$4.64$4.10-12%

ARKO has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 12% so far in 2026.

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