ARKO

Arko Corp.

32
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ARKO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over ARKO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ARKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

ARKO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ARKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$0.99-76%
Fair28x$1.70-59%
Forward29x$4.10—
Expensive62x$3.70-9.9%
Current68x$4.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARKO's PE is in its expensive range at 68x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARKO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over ARKO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ARKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$5.11
Downside-40%$2.47

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

ARKO trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARKO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+133%
Q3 2026$0.06-45%
Q2 2026$0.080%
Q1 2026$0.20+567%
Q4 2025$0.15+15%
Q3 2025$0.11-27%
Q2 2025$0.08-68%
Q1 2025$0.03-88%
Q4 2024$0.13-46%

ARKO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ARKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+18%
Q2 2026$2.3B+17%
Q1 2026$1.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-9.9%
Q3 2025$2B-11%
Q2 2025$2B-16%
Q1 2025$1.8B-12%
Q4 2024$2B-11%

ARKO's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over ARKO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.5M-147%
Q2 2026$8.9M-9.5%
Q1 2026-$11.6M-173%
Q4 2025$14.9M+$28.3M
Q3 2025$24.5M-69%
Q2 2025$9.8M-83%
Q1 2025$16M+$32.5M
Q4 2024-$13.4M-162%

ARKO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $744,000 over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over ARKO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-36K shares
1 year+0.6%+644K shares
3 years-3.7%-4.4M shares
5 years-13%-18.1M shares
Available history-74%-326M shares

ARKO has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

ARKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

ARKO's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over ARKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ARKO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ARKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricARKOSector medianRelative
PE68x18x279% above
PE %854738 pts above

ARKO is trading at 68x earnings, a 279% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.041.5% above
20 week MA$5.2822% below
50 week MA$5.7829% below
100 week MA$5.3523% below
200 week MA$6.2735% below

ARKO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

ARKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$9.44-5.9%
2021$9.44$8.52-9.7%
2022$8.52$8.62+1.2%
2023$8.62$8.25-4.3%
2024$8.25$6.53-21%
2025$6.53$4.64-29%
2026 YTD$4.64$4.10-12%

ARKO has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 12% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over ARKO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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