ARKO

Arko Corp.

32
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ARKO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over ARKO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ARKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

ARKO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ARKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$0.99-76%
Fair28x$1.70-59%
Forward29x$4.10—
Expensive62x$3.70-9.9%
Current68x$4.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARKO's PE is in its expensive range at 68x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over ARKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARKO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over ARKO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

ARKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$5.11
Downside-40%$2.47

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

ARKO trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARKO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+133%
Q3 2026$0.06-45%
Q2 2026$0.080%
Q1 2026$0.20+567%
Q4 2025$0.15+15%
Q3 2025$0.11-27%
Q2 2025$0.08-68%
Q1 2025$0.03-88%
Q4 2024$0.13-46%

ARKO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.60 in mid-2022.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over ARKO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+18%
Q2 2026$2.3B+17%
Q1 2026$1.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-9.9%
Q3 2025$2B-11%
Q2 2025$2B-16%
Q1 2025$1.8B-12%
Q4 2024$2B-11%

ARKO's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over ARKO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.5M-147%
Q2 2026$8.9M-9.5%
Q1 2026-$11.6M-173%
Q4 2025$14.9M+$28.3M
Q3 2025$24.5M-69%
Q2 2025$9.8M-83%
Q1 2025$16M+$32.5M
Q4 2024-$13.4M-162%

ARKO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

ARKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-36K shares
1 year+0.6%+644K shares
3 years-3.7%-4.4M shares
5 years-13%-18.1M shares
Available history-74%-326M shares

ARKO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

ARKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

ARKO's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over ARKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ARKO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ARKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricARKOSector medianRelative
PE68x18x279% above
PE %854738 pts above

ARKO is trading at 68x earnings, a 279% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over ARKO on valuation relative to its sector.

ARKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.041.5% above
20 week MA$5.2822% below
50 week MA$5.7829% below
100 week MA$5.3523% below
200 week MA$6.2735% below

ARKO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

ARKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$9.44-5.9%
2021$9.44$8.52-9.7%
2022$8.52$8.62+1.2%
2023$8.62$8.25-4.3%
2024$8.25$6.53-21%
2025$6.53$4.64-29%
2026 YTD$4.64$4.10-12%

ARKO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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