AQN

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.

46
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AQN has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AQN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

AQN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AQN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x227x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x227x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$2.40-57%
Forward15x$5.53โ€”
Fair19x$3.49-37%
Current30x$5.53โ€”
Expensive35x$6.22+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AQN's PE is in its expensive range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AQN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AQN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AQN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$6.74
Downside-14%$4.77

Calculated from the latest close: $5.53 on Nov 12.

AQN trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AQN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AQN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.78Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.38
Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.78Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38+112%
Q2 2026$0.18+$1.96
Q1 2026$0.21+$1.74
Q4 2025$0.22+$2.00
Q3 2025-$0.03+$1.25
Q2 2025-$1.78-1213%
Q1 2025-$1.53-$1.04
Q4 2024-$1.78-6033%
Q3 2024-$1.28-$0.91

AQN has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

AQN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $565MQ4 2023: $667MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $515MQ3 2024: $573MQ4 2024: $585MQ1 2025: $692MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $583MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $792MQ2 2026: $544M
Q3 2023: $565MQ4 2023: $667MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $515MQ3 2024: $573MQ4 2024: $585MQ1 2025: $692MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $583MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $792MQ2 2026: $544M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$543.9M+3.1%
Q1 2026$792.4M+14%
Q4 2025$630.7M+7.8%
Q3 2025$582.7M+1.7%
Q2 2025$527.8M+2.4%
Q1 2025$692.4M+7.1%
Q4 2024$584.8M-12%
Q3 2024$573.2M+1.5%

AQN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $544M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

AQN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$145MQ4 2023: โˆ’$134MQ1 2024: โˆ’$81MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: โˆ’$116MQ4 2024: โˆ’$216MQ1 2025: โˆ’$148MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: โˆ’$52MQ4 2025: โˆ’$45MQ1 2026: โˆ’$85MQ2 2026: $124M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$145MQ4 2023: โˆ’$134MQ1 2024: โˆ’$81MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: โˆ’$116MQ4 2024: โˆ’$216MQ1 2025: โˆ’$148MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: โˆ’$52MQ4 2025: โˆ’$45MQ1 2026: โˆ’$85MQ2 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$123.7M+72%
Q1 2026-$85.1M+$63.1M
Q4 2025-$44.8M+$170.9M
Q3 2025-$52.2M+$63.9M
Q2 2025$71.8M+133%
Q1 2025-$148.3M-$66.9M
Q4 2024-$215.6M-$81.3M
Q3 2024-$116.1M+$29M

AQN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 88% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

AQN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 689MQ4 2023: 697MQ1 2024: 690MQ2 2024: 704MQ3 2024: 770MQ4 2024: 790MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 772MQ3 2025: 772MQ4 2025: 776MQ1 2026: 773MQ2 2026: 773M
Q3 2023: 689MQ4 2023: 697MQ1 2024: 690MQ2 2024: 704MQ3 2024: 770MQ4 2024: 790MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 772MQ3 2025: 772MQ4 2025: 776MQ1 2026: 773MQ2 2026: 773M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-30K shares
1 year+0.1%+466K shares
3 years+12%+85M shares
5 years+25%+153M shares
Available history+54%+272M shares

AQN has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

AQN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 19.1xQ4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 22.2xQ2 2024: 8.6xQ3 2024: 6.0xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.9xQ2 2026: 7.0x
Q3 2023: 19.1xQ4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 22.2xQ2 2024: 8.6xQ3 2024: 6.0xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.9xQ2 2026: 7.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 20266.9xHigh
Q4 20256.8xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20256.8xHigh
Q1 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20246.4xHigh
Q3 20246.0xHigh

AQN's net debt is about 7.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AQN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.7Neutral
Stochastic56.2Neutral

AQN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

AQN PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricAQNSector medianRelative
PE30x20x49% above
PE %734429 pts above

AQN is trading at 30x earnings, a 49% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AQN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.304.3% above
20 week MA$5.530% above
50 week MA$5.957.1% below
100 week MA$5.682.6% below
200 week MA$6.119.5% below

AQN has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

AQN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.3$16.2+14%
2021$16.2$14.3-12%
2022$14.3$6.76-53%
2023$6.76$6.32-6.5%
2024$6.32$4.48-29%
2025$4.48$6.19+38%
2026 YTD$6.19$5.53-11%

AQN has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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