AQN

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.

46
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AQN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 30x earnings, above its usual 20x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

AQN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

AQN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AQN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x227x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x113x170x227x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$2.40-57%
Forward15x$5.53—
Fair19x$3.49-37%
Current30x$5.53—
Expensive35x$6.22+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AQN's PE is in its expensive range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AQN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AQN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AQN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$6.74
Downside-14%$4.77

Calculated from the latest close: $5.53 on Nov 12.

AQN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −14%.

AQN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.78Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.38
Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.49Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.78Q3 2025: $-0.03Q4 2025: $0.22Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38+112%
Q2 2026$0.18+$1.96
Q1 2026$0.21+$1.74
Q4 2025$0.22+$2.00
Q3 2025-$0.03+$1.25
Q2 2025-$1.78-1213%
Q1 2025-$1.53-$1.04
Q4 2024-$1.78-6033%
Q3 2024-$1.28-$0.91

AQN has returned to profit: it earned $0.18 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AQN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $565MQ4 2023: $667MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $515MQ3 2024: $573MQ4 2024: $585MQ1 2025: $692MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $583MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $792MQ2 2026: $544M
Q3 2023: $565MQ4 2023: $667MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $515MQ3 2024: $573MQ4 2024: $585MQ1 2025: $692MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $583MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $792MQ2 2026: $544M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$543.9M+3.1%
Q1 2026$792.4M+14%
Q4 2025$630.7M+7.8%
Q3 2025$582.7M+1.7%
Q2 2025$527.8M+2.4%
Q1 2025$692.4M+7.1%
Q4 2024$584.8M-12%
Q3 2024$573.2M+1.5%

AQN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $544M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AQN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$134MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$116MQ4 2024: −$216MQ1 2025: −$148MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: −$52MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$85MQ2 2026: $124M
Q3 2023: −$145MQ4 2023: −$134MQ1 2024: −$81MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$116MQ4 2024: −$216MQ1 2025: −$148MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: −$52MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$85MQ2 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$123.7M+72%
Q1 2026-$85.1M+$63.1M
Q4 2025-$44.8M+$170.9M
Q3 2025-$52.2M+$63.9M
Q2 2025$71.8M+133%
Q1 2025-$148.3M-$66.9M
Q4 2024-$215.6M-$81.3M
Q3 2024-$116.1M+$29M

AQN has burned cash in most quarters: −$58M over the past year, against −$408M the year before.

AQN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 689MQ4 2023: 697MQ1 2024: 690MQ2 2024: 704MQ3 2024: 770MQ4 2024: 790MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 772MQ3 2025: 772MQ4 2025: 776MQ1 2026: 773MQ2 2026: 773M
Q3 2023: 689MQ4 2023: 697MQ1 2024: 690MQ2 2024: 704MQ3 2024: 770MQ4 2024: 790MQ1 2025: 771MQ2 2025: 772MQ3 2025: 772MQ4 2025: 776MQ1 2026: 773MQ2 2026: 773M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-30K shares
1 year+0.1%+466K shares
3 years+12%+85M shares
5 years+25%+153M shares
Available history+54%+272M shares

AQN has 773M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AQN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 19.1xQ4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 22.2xQ2 2024: 8.6xQ3 2024: 6.0xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.9xQ2 2026: 7.0x
Q3 2023: 19.1xQ4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 22.2xQ2 2024: 8.6xQ3 2024: 6.0xQ4 2024: 6.4xQ1 2025: 5.4xQ2 2025: 6.8xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 6.8xQ1 2026: 6.9xQ2 2026: 7.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 20266.9xHigh
Q4 20256.8xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20256.8xHigh
Q1 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20246.4xHigh
Q3 20246.0xHigh

AQN's net debt is about 7.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago.

AQN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.7Neutral
Stochastic56.2Neutral

AQN's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

AQN PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricAQNSector medianRelative
PE30x20x49% above
PE %734429 pts above

AQN is trading at 30x earnings, a 49% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

AQN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.304.3% above
20 week MA$5.530% above
50 week MA$5.957.1% below
100 week MA$5.682.6% below
200 week MA$6.119.5% below

AQN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.5% below its 200-week average.

AQN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.3$16.2+14%
2021$16.2$14.3-12%
2022$14.3$6.76-53%
2023$6.76$6.32-6.5%
2024$6.32$4.48-29%
2025$4.48$6.19+38%
2026 YTD$6.19$5.53-11%

AQN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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