AN

AutoNation, Inc.

57
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable

AN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$118-34%
Forward8.2x$181—
Current8.7x$181—
Fair9.4x$195+8.1%
Expensive13x$264+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AN's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over AN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

AN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$225.08
Downside-15%$153.89

Calculated from the latest close: $180.51 on Nov 12.

AN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails AN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.14+6.5%
Q3 2026$20.79+22%
Q2 2026$21.57+35%
Q1 2026$18.44+9.2%
Q4 2025$17.04+0.7%
Q3 2025$16.98-2.5%
Q2 2025$15.94-13%
Q1 2025$16.88-20%
Q4 2024$16.92-26%

AN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

AN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$6.9B-0.6%
Q1 2026$6.6B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.9B-3.9%
Q3 2025$7B+6.9%
Q2 2025$7B+7.6%
Q1 2025$6.7B+3.2%
Q4 2024$7.2B+6.6%

AN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over AN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.6M+8.8%
Q2 2026-$140.7M+$116.1M
Q1 2026-$34.2M+$93.5M
Q4 2025$64.2M-23%
Q3 2025$122.8M+$273.8M
Q2 2025-$256.8M-$109.7M
Q1 2025-$127.7M-164%
Q4 2024$83.5M+$246.4M

AN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

AN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-500K shares
1 year-13%-4.8M shares
3 years-24%-10.7M shares
5 years-53%-37.4M shares
Available history-63%-57.2M shares

AN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

AN Net Leverage

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AN's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricANSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x52% below
PE %44473 pts below

AN is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.26.7% above
20 week MA$188.24.1% below
50 week MA$195.67.7% below
100 week MA$193.86.8% below
200 week MA$173.34.2% above

AN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

AN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.0$68.1+39%
2021$68.1$112.1+65%
2022$112.1$107.1-4.4%
2023$107.1$150.2+40%
2024$150.2$171.9+14%
2025$171.9$211.5+23%
2026 YTD$211.5$180.5-15%

AN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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