AN

AutoNation, Inc.

57
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AN's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 22%, but revenue fell 1.8%. At 8.7x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable

AN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$118-34%
Forward8.1x$181—
Current8.7x$181—
Fair9.4x$195+8.1%
Expensive13x$264+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AN's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.1x next year's earnings.

AN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$225.08
Downside-15%$153.89

Calculated from the latest close: $180.51 on Nov 12.

AN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −15%.

AN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.25
Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.25+7%
Q3 2026$20.79+22%
Q2 2026$21.57+35%
Q1 2026$18.44+9.2%
Q4 2025$17.04+0.7%
Q3 2025$16.98-2.5%
Q2 2025$15.94-13%
Q1 2025$16.88-20%
Q4 2024$16.92-26%

AN earned $20.79 per share over the past year, up 22% from the year before.

AN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$6.9B-0.6%
Q1 2026$6.6B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.9B-3.9%
Q3 2025$7B+6.9%
Q2 2025$7B+7.6%
Q1 2025$6.7B+3.2%
Q4 2024$7.2B+6.6%

AN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.6M+8.8%
Q2 2026-$140.7M+$116.1M
Q1 2026-$34.2M+$93.5M
Q4 2025$64.2M-23%
Q3 2025$122.8M+$273.8M
Q2 2025-$256.8M-$109.7M
Q1 2025-$127.7M-164%
Q4 2024$83.5M+$246.4M

AN's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $23M over the past year.

AN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-500K shares
1 year-13%-4.8M shares
3 years-24%-10.7M shares
5 years-53%-37.4M shares
Available history-63%-57.2M shares

AN has 33M diluted shares, down 13% from a year ago, with $993M in buybacks over the past year.

AN Net Leverage

AN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AN's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

AN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricANSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x52% below
PE %44473 pts below

AN is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.26.7% above
20 week MA$188.24.1% below
50 week MA$195.67.7% below
100 week MA$193.86.8% below
200 week MA$173.34.2% above

AN's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.2% above its 200-week average.

AN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.0$68.1+39%
2021$68.1$112.1+65%
2022$112.1$107.1-4.4%
2023$107.1$150.2+40%
2024$150.2$171.9+14%
2025$171.9$211.5+23%
2026 YTD$211.5$180.5-15%

AN has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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