AN

AutoNation, Inc.

57
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable

AN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$118-34%
Forward8.2x$181—
Current8.7x$181—
Fair9.4x$195+8.1%
Expensive13x$264+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AN's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$225.08
Downside-15%$153.89

Calculated from the latest close: $180.51 on Nov 12.

AN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails AN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.14+6.5%
Q3 2026$20.79+22%
Q2 2026$21.57+35%
Q1 2026$18.44+9.2%
Q4 2025$17.04+0.7%
Q3 2025$16.98-2.5%
Q2 2025$15.94-13%
Q1 2025$16.88-20%
Q4 2024$16.92-26%

AN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

AN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$6.9B-0.6%
Q1 2026$6.6B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.9B-3.9%
Q3 2025$7B+6.9%
Q2 2025$7B+7.6%
Q1 2025$6.7B+3.2%
Q4 2024$7.2B+6.6%

AN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over AN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.6M+8.8%
Q2 2026-$140.7M+$116.1M
Q1 2026-$34.2M+$93.5M
Q4 2025$64.2M-23%
Q3 2025$122.8M+$273.8M
Q2 2025-$256.8M-$109.7M
Q1 2025-$127.7M-164%
Q4 2024$83.5M+$246.4M

AN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

AN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-500K shares
1 year-13%-4.8M shares
3 years-24%-10.7M shares
5 years-53%-37.4M shares
Available history-63%-57.2M shares

AN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

AN Net Leverage

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AN's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricANSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x52% below
PE %44473 pts below

AN is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.26.7% above
20 week MA$188.24.1% below
50 week MA$195.67.7% below
100 week MA$193.86.8% below
200 week MA$173.34.2% above

AN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

AN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.0$68.1+39%
2021$68.1$112.1+65%
2022$112.1$107.1-4.4%
2023$107.1$150.2+40%
2024$150.2$171.9+14%
2025$171.9$211.5+23%
2026 YTD$211.5$180.5-15%

AN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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