AN

AutoNation, Inc.

57
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AN has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable

AN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$118-34%
Forward8.2x$181—
Current8.7x$181—
Fair9.4x$195+8.1%
Expensive13x$264+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AN's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over AN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$225.08
Downside-15%$153.89

Calculated from the latest close: $180.51 on Nov 12.

AN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails AN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
Q4 2023: $22.74Q1 2024: $21.16Q2 2024: $18.34Q3 2024: $17.41Q4 2024: $16.92Q1 2025: $16.88Q2 2025: $15.94Q3 2025: $16.98Q4 2025: $17.04Q1 2026: $18.44Q2 2026: $21.57Q3 2026: $20.79Forward: $22.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.14+6.5%
Q3 2026$20.79+22%
Q2 2026$21.57+35%
Q1 2026$18.44+9.2%
Q4 2025$17.04+0.7%
Q3 2025$16.98-2.5%
Q2 2025$15.94-13%
Q1 2025$16.88-20%
Q4 2024$16.92-26%

AN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.6BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6.9BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$6.9B-0.6%
Q1 2026$6.6B-2.1%
Q4 2025$6.9B-3.9%
Q3 2025$7B+6.9%
Q2 2025$7B+7.6%
Q1 2025$6.7B+3.2%
Q4 2024$7.2B+6.6%

AN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over AN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: −$163MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: −$151MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$257MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: −$141MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.6M+8.8%
Q2 2026-$140.7M+$116.1M
Q1 2026-$34.2M+$93.5M
Q4 2025$64.2M-23%
Q3 2025$122.8M+$273.8M
Q2 2025-$256.8M-$109.7M
Q1 2025-$127.7M-164%
Q4 2024$83.5M+$246.4M

AN's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $23M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

AN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-500K shares
1 year-13%-4.8M shares
3 years-24%-10.7M shares
5 years-53%-37.4M shares
Available history-63%-57.2M shares

AN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

AN Net Leverage

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

AN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AN's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricANSector medianRelative
PE8.7x18x52% below
PE %44473 pts below

AN is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.26.7% above
20 week MA$188.24.1% below
50 week MA$195.67.7% below
100 week MA$193.86.8% below
200 week MA$173.34.2% above

AN has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

AN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.0$68.1+39%
2021$68.1$112.1+65%
2022$112.1$107.1-4.4%
2023$107.1$150.2+40%
2024$150.2$171.9+14%
2025$171.9$211.5+23%
2026 YTD$211.5$180.5-15%

AN has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over AN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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