AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

YUM

Yum! Brands, Inc.

75
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

YUM has a slight edge over AMZN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

YUM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Stable

YUM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

YUM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current13x$159—
Cheap23x$291+83%
Forward25x$159—
Fair27x$332+108%
Expensive30x$377+136%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YUM has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over YUM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

YUM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect YUM's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than YUM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

YUM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$184.70
Downside-13%$138.86

Calculated from the latest close: $159.34 on Nov 12.

YUM trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over YUM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YUM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.59Q1 2024: $5.64Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.35Q4 2024: $5.22Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.95Q3 2026: $12.46Forward: $6.47
Q4 2023: $5.59Q1 2024: $5.64Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.35Q4 2024: $5.22Q1 2025: $5.02Q2 2025: $5.07Q3 2025: $5.13Q4 2025: $5.55Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.95Q3 2026: $12.46Forward: $6.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.47-48%
Q3 2026$12.46+143%
Q2 2026$7.95+57%
Q1 2026$6.20+24%
Q4 2025$5.55+6.3%
Q3 2025$5.13-4.1%
Q2 2025$5.07-7.1%
Q1 2025$5.02-11%
Q4 2024$5.22-6.6%

YUM earned $12.46 per share over the past year, up 143% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over YUM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

YUM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+3.8%
Q2 2026$2.2B+12%
Q1 2026$2.1B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+6.5%
Q3 2025$2B+8.4%
Q2 2025$1.9B+9.6%
Q1 2025$1.8B+12%
Q4 2024$2.4B+16%

YUM's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $2.1B last quarter, up 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

YUM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $314MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $407MQ3 2026: $388M
Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $314MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: $407MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $449MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $407MQ3 2026: $388M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$388M-14%
Q2 2026$407M+8.5%
Q1 2026$341M+2.4%
Q4 2025$482M+18%
Q3 2025$449M+7.2%
Q2 2025$375M+28%
Q1 2025$333M+6.1%
Q4 2024$407M+19%

YUM has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

YUM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 281MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 279MQ2 2026: 277MQ3 2026: 274M
Q4 2023: 285MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 281MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 279MQ2 2026: 277MQ3 2026: 274M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-3M shares
1 year-2.5%-7M shares
3 years-4.2%-12M shares
5 years-9.3%-28M shares
Available history-12%-39M shares

YUM has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over YUM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

YUM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20254.4xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

YUM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

YUM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic72.4Neutral

YUM's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

YUM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricYUMSector medianRelative
PE13x18x29% below
PE %04747 pts below

YUM has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

YUM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.56.6% above
20 week MA$150.55.9% above
50 week MA$153.83.6% above
100 week MA$149.66.5% above
200 week MA$141.113% above

YUM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over YUM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YUM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.9$107.5+5.5%
2021$107.5$135.3+26%
2022$135.3$128.9-4.8%
2023$128.9$130.7+1.4%
2024$130.7$135.2+3.5%
2025$135.2$153.2+13%
2026 YTD$153.2$159.3+4%

YUM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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