AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over W overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

W

Wayfair Inc.

60
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

W offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

W Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

W's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

W PE Valuation

W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

W Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for W, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than W, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

W Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$162.24
Downside-30%$77.82

Calculated from the latest close: $111.48 on Nov 12.

W trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over W on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

W Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.47Q1 2024: $-5.31Q2 2024: $-5.24Q3 2024: $-4.44Q4 2024: $-4.01Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.39Q3 2025: $-2.55Q4 2025: $-2.44Q1 2026: $-2.35Q2 2026: $-2.47Q3 2026: $-1.26Forward: $3.81
Q4 2023: $-6.47Q1 2024: $-5.31Q2 2024: $-5.24Q3 2024: $-4.44Q4 2024: $-4.01Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.39Q3 2025: $-2.55Q4 2025: $-2.44Q1 2026: $-2.35Q2 2026: $-2.47Q3 2026: $-1.26Forward: $3.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.81—
Q3 2026-$1.26+$1.29
Q2 2026-$2.47-$0.08
Q1 2026-$2.35+$0.49
Q4 2025-$2.44+$1.57
Q3 2025-$2.55+$1.89
Q2 2025-$2.39+$2.85
Q1 2025-$2.84+$2.47
Q4 2024-$4.01+$2.46

W is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.26 per share over the past year, against $12.72 at its worst in early 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over W on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

W Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $3.1BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+9.7%
Q2 2026$3.5B+7.5%
Q1 2026$2.9B+7.4%
Q4 2025$3.3B+6.9%
Q3 2025$3.1B+8.1%
Q2 2025$3.3B+5%
Q1 2025$2.7B0%
Q4 2024$3.1B+0.2%

W's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

W Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: −$152MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: −$101MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: $334MQ3 2026: $168M
Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: −$152MQ2 2024: $222MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: −$101MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: $334MQ3 2026: $168M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$168M+31%
Q2 2026$334M+28%
Q1 2026-$77M+$24M
Q4 2025$177M+25%
Q3 2025$128M+300%
Q2 2025$260M+17%
Q1 2025-$101M+$51M
Q4 2024$142M+28%

W has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over W on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

W Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 123MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 122MQ3 2024: 123MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.5%+6M shares
1 year+6.2%+8M shares
3 years+19%+22M shares
5 years+33%+33.9M shares
Available history+50%+45.8M shares

W has 138M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over W on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

W Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 103.9xQ2 2025: 33.2xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q1 2025: 103.9xQ2 2025: 33.2xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q3 202512.7xHigh
Q2 202533.2xHigh
Q1 2025103.9xHigh
Q4 20215.9xHigh

W's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

W Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic67.1Neutral

W's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

W PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

W Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$108.03.2% above
20 week MA$101.010% above
50 week MA$91.222% above
100 week MA$74.949% above
200 week MA$63.974% above

W is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over W on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

W Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.1$252.8+175%
2021$252.8$204.4-19%
2022$204.4$33.6-84%
2023$33.6$61.7+84%
2024$61.7$43.8-29%
2025$43.8$102.2+134%
2026 YTD$102.2$111.5+9.1%

W's yearly returns have swung widely, from +175% in 2020 to −84% in 2022. It's up 9.1% so far in 2026.

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