AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over VAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation

52
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

VAC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

VAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

VAC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

VAC PE Valuation

VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

VAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VAC, with profitability improving.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VAC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$155.79
Downside-25%$85.75

Calculated from the latest close: $114.99 on Nov 12.

VAC trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over VAC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.28Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.25Q3 2024: $5.28Q4 2024: $5.61Q1 2025: $5.85Q2 2025: $6.64Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $-8.84Q1 2026: $-9.66Q2 2026: $-9.31Q3 2026: $-7.00Forward: $9.67
Q4 2023: $6.28Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.25Q3 2024: $5.28Q4 2024: $5.61Q1 2025: $5.85Q2 2025: $6.64Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $-8.84Q1 2026: $-9.66Q2 2026: $-9.31Q3 2026: $-7.00Forward: $9.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.67—
Q3 2026-$7.00-257%
Q2 2026-$9.31-240%
Q1 2026-$9.66-265%
Q4 2025-$8.84-258%
Q3 2025$4.45-16%
Q2 2025$6.64+56%
Q1 2025$5.85+7.5%
Q4 2024$5.61-11%

VAC has swung to a loss: it lost $7.00 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over VAC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+8.2%
Q2 2026$1.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$1.3B+4.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B-0.3%
Q3 2025$1.3B-3.2%
Q2 2025$1.2B+9.3%
Q1 2025$1.2B+0.4%
Q4 2024$1.3B+11%

VAC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1.4B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

VAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$68MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$68MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $66MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116M+127%
Q2 2026$66M+$134M
Q1 2026-$12M-$6M
Q4 2025-$6M-107%
Q3 2025$51M-12%
Q2 2025-$68M-500%
Q1 2025-$6M+$7M
Q4 2024$86M+51%

VAC has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over VAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+400K shares
1 year+11%+3.7M shares
3 years-11%-4.7M shares
5 years-12%-5.1M shares
Available history-13%-5.9M shares

VAC has 39M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over VAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ3 2026: 25.8x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ3 2026: 25.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202625.8xHigh
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated
Q3 20243.2xElevated
Q2 20243.2xElevated
Q1 20242.9xModerate

VAC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

VAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic53.9Neutral

VAC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

VAC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVACSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

VAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$109.25.3% above
20 week MA$107.27.3% above
50 week MA$84.436% above
100 week MA$77.948% above
200 week MA$90.228% above

VAC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 28% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

VAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$130.6$134.1+2.7%
2021$134.1$166.5+24%
2022$166.5$134.1-19%
2023$134.1$84.9-37%
2024$84.9$90.6+6.8%
2025$90.6$58.6-35%
2026 YTD$58.6$115.0+96%

VAC has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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