AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over TM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

TM

Toyota Motor Corporation

58
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

TM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

TM's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over TM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$175-16%
Current9.4x$210—
Fair10x$225+7.5%
Expensive13x$290+38%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TM's PE is 9.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over TM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$253.64
Downside-17%$173.97

Calculated from the latest close: $209.68 on Nov 12.

TM trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over TM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$22.31+9.3%
Q1 2026$18.69-17%
Q4 2025$17.86-26%
Q3 2025$22.19+12%
Q2 2025$20.41-12%
Q1 2025$22.57-1.6%
Q4 2024$24.03+15%
Q3 2024$19.86+11%

TM earned $22.31 per share over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over TM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$85.9B+12%
Q1 2026$80.4B+3.8%
Q4 2025$85.9B+11%
Q3 2025$77.6B+8.2%
Q2 2025$76.8B+3.5%
Q1 2025$77.5B+12%
Q4 2024$77.7B+2.9%
Q3 2024$71.7B+0.1%

TM's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $85.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

TM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.8B-221%
Q1 2026$1.5B+153%
Q4 2025-$3.1B+$320.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3B+$610.4M
Q2 2025$4B+$4B
Q1 2025$592.5M+$592.7M
Q4 2024-$3.4B+$1.1B
Q3 2024-$1.9B-$637.3M

TM has the edge over AMZN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

TM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.1%-79.5M shares
1 year-6.1%-79.4M shares
3 years-9.7%-132M shares
5 years-12%-174M shares
Available history-14%-202M shares

TM has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over TM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated
Q3 20243.4xElevated

TM's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

TM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic77.3Neutral

TM's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTMSector medianRelative
PE9.4x18x48% below
PE %354712 pts below

TM has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

TM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$196.36.8% above
20 week MA$191.39.6% above
50 week MA$201.54% above
100 week MA$194.57.8% above
200 week MA$187.812% above

TM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over TM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$141.3$150.5+6.5%
2021$150.5$183.8+22%
2022$183.8$137.1-25%
2023$137.1$183.4+34%
2024$183.4$199.5+8.8%
2025$199.5$216.6+8.6%
2026 YTD$216.6$209.7-3.2%

TM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 3.2% so far in 2026.

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