AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over TLYS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TLYS

Tilly's, Inc.

51
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

TLYS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

TLYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

TLYS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over TLYS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TLYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x293x439x585x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x293x439x585x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$0.31-93%
Fair11x$0.64-85%
Forward23x$4.29—
Expensive40x$2.38-45%
Current75x$4.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TLYS's PE is in its expensive range at 75x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

TLYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TLYS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLYS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$6.54
Downside-44%$2.40

Calculated from the latest close: $4.29 on Nov 12.

TLYS trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over TLYS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.37Q4 2024: $-1.77Q1 2025: $-1.54Q2 2025: $-1.62Q3 2025: $-1.51Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.18
Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.37Q4 2024: $-1.77Q1 2025: $-1.54Q2 2025: $-1.62Q3 2025: $-1.51Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.11Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.18+208%
Q3 2026$0.06+$1.57
Q2 2026-$0.11+$1.51
Q1 2026-$0.58+$0.96
Q4 2025-$1.13+$0.64
Q3 2025-$1.51-$0.14
Q2 2025-$1.62-$0.21
Q1 2025-$1.54-$0.38
Q4 2024-$1.77-$1.30

TLYS has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over TLYS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$163.5M+8.1%
Q2 2026$124.7M+16%
Q1 2026$155.1M+5.3%
Q4 2025$139.6M-2.7%
Q3 2025$151.3M-7.1%
Q2 2025$107.6M-7.1%
Q1 2025$147.3M-15%
Q4 2024$143.4M-14%

TLYS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $164M last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

TLYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $310,000Q2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$25MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $310,000Q2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$25MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.9M+56%
Q2 2026-$5.3M+$4.4M
Q1 2026$7.3M+$12.6M
Q4 2025-$11.7M+$13.4M
Q3 2025$13.4M+68%
Q2 2025-$9.6M+$18.2M
Q1 2025-$5.4M-1829%
Q4 2024-$25.1M-$14.3M

TLYS has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over TLYS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.5%+1M shares
1 year+3%+893K shares
3 years+4.5%+1.3M shares
5 years+0.1%+46K shares
Available history+4.7%+1.4M shares

TLYS has 31M diluted shares, up 3% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TLYS Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -5.9xQ3 2026: -5.2x
Q2 2026: -5.9xQ3 2026: -5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2023-6.6xNet Cash
Q1 2023-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2021-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2021-4.8xNet Cash
Q3 2020-6.8xNet Cash

TLYS has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

TLYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic24.4Neutral

TLYS's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over TLYS on valuation relative to its sector.

TLYS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTLYSSector medianRelative
PE75x18x316% above
PE %894742 pts above

TLYS is trading at 75x earnings, a 316% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over TLYS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.341.2% below
20 week MA$4.182.6% above
50 week MA$3.5222% above
100 week MA$2.8650% above
200 week MA$4.8311% below

TLYS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

TLYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.1$8.14-33%
2021$8.14$15.3+88%
2022$15.3$8.86-42%
2023$8.86$7.54-15%
2024$7.54$3.90-48%
2025$3.90$1.83-53%
2026 YTD$1.83$4.29+134%

TLYS has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key