AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has the edge over SHOO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
SHOO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
SHOO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
SHOO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SHOO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over SHOO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SHOO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $28.23 | -31% |
| Current | 17x | $41.18 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $41.18 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $44.77 | +8.7% |
| Expensive | 46x | $113 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOO's PE is in its fair range at 16.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16.6x.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
SHOO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SHOO has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over SHOO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.48 | +2.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.43 | +208% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.00 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.06 | -54% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.63 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.79 | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | -48% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.32 | -4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.35 | +2.2% |
SHOO earned $2.43 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN has the edge over SHOO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $772.6M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $665.9M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $653.1M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $753.7M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $667.9M | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $559M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $553.5M | +0.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $582.3M | +12% |
SHOO has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.9% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | -7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +0.3 points |
SHOO's operating margin was 9.5% last quarter, up 4.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
SHOO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$10.9M | -227% |
| Q2 2026 | $196.1M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | -$61.2M | -$32.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $80.8M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.6M | +$15.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $58.8M | -44% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28.7M | -$9M |
| Q4 2024 | $94.6M | -35% |
SHOO has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has the edge over SHOO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
SHOO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +413K shares |
| 1 year | +2% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -2% | -1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -8.7M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -11.1M shares |
SHOO has 73M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $343,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $985,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $7.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $169,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $428,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6M |
SHOO spent $14M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SHOO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
SHOO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
SHOO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
SHOO's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
SHOO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SHOO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 5.9% below |
| PE % | 37 | 47 | 10 pts below |
SHOO has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN has the edge over SHOO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SHOO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.5 | 5.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 6.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.7 | 1.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.3 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $37.6 | 9.4% above |
SHOO has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 9.4% above its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over SHOO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SHOO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.7 | $34.6 | -19% |
| 2021 | $34.6 | $44.4 | +28% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $42.0 | +29% |
| 2024 | $42.0 | $42.3 | +0.8% |
| 2025 | $42.3 | $43.0 | +1.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.0 | $41.2 | -4.3% |
SHOO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.3% so far in 2026.