AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over SBUX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SBUX

Starbucks Corporation

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

SBUX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

SBUX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SBUX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over SBUX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SBUX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$54.72-49%
Fair32x$71.35-33%
Forward33x$107—
Current49x$107—
Expensive78x$172+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBUX's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

SBUX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect SBUX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBUX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SBUX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$145.25
Downside-11%$94.95

Calculated from the latest close: $107.26 on Nov 12.

SBUX trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over SBUX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBUX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.23+46%
Q3 2026$2.21+36%
Q2 2026$1.73-25%
Q1 2026$1.31-53%
Q4 2025$1.20-61%
Q3 2025$1.63-51%
Q2 2025$2.32-35%
Q1 2025$2.76-24%
Q4 2024$3.10-17%

SBUX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.21 over the past year, against $3.74 in late 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over SBUX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBUX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.1B-4.5%
Q2 2026$9.3B-1.4%
Q1 2026$9.5B+8.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+5.5%
Q3 2025$9.6B+5.5%
Q2 2025$9.5B+3.8%
Q1 2025$8.8B+2.3%
Q4 2024$9.4B-0.3%

SBUX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $9.1B last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

SBUX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$1.4B+211%
Q1 2026$91.8M+$389M
Q4 2025$1.3B-7.6%
Q3 2025$925.8M+26%
Q2 2025$434.3M-54%
Q1 2025-$297.2M-$144.1M
Q4 2024$1.4B-23%

SBUX has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

SBUX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-400K shares
1 year+0.3%+3.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-7.9M shares
5 years-3.6%-42.1M shares
Available history-4%-47.6M shares

SBUX has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over SBUX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SBUX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

SBUX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SBUX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic75.9Neutral

SBUX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over SBUX on valuation relative to its sector.

SBUX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSBUXSector medianRelative
PE49x18x169% above
PE %704723 pts above

SBUX is trading at 49x earnings, a 169% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

SBUX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.47.9% above
20 week MA$102.34.8% above
50 week MA$98.49% above
100 week MA$94.813% above
200 week MA$94.913% above

SBUX has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

SBUX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.1$102.0+16%
2021$102.0$112.4+10%
2022$112.4$98.3-13%
2023$98.3$96.0-2.3%
2024$96.0$92.3-3.9%
2025$92.3$85.1-7.8%
2026 YTD$85.1$107.3+26%

SBUX has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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