AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over PZZA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PZZA

Papa John's International, Inc.

30
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

PZZA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PZZA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

PZZA's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over PZZA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PZZA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$15.78-18%
Current25x$19.16—
Fair33x$25.26+32%
Expensive100x$75.77+295%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PZZA's PE is in its cheap range at 25x.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

PZZA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PZZA to show an outlook.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PZZA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PZZA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$23.25
Downside-50%$9.49

Calculated from the latest close: $19.16 on Nov 12.

PZZA trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.76-33%
Q2 2026$0.80-65%
Q1 2026$0.84-65%
Q4 2025$0.90-65%
Q3 2025$1.14-61%
Q2 2025$2.28+8.6%
Q1 2025$2.37+4.4%
Q4 2024$2.54+2.4%

PZZA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $2.89 in late 2024.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$454.8M-10%
Q2 2026$482.4M-8.8%
Q1 2026$478.6M-7.7%
Q4 2025$498.2M-6.1%
Q3 2025$508.2M+0.3%
Q2 2025$529.2M+4.2%
Q1 2025$518.3M+0.9%
Q4 2024$530.8M-7.1%

PZZA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $455M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

PZZA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.7M-57%
Q2 2026$15.7M-9.9%
Q1 2026-$6.2M-133%
Q4 2025$2.1M-92%
Q3 2025$22.7M+$26.5M
Q2 2025$17.4M+26%
Q1 2025$19.1M+$20.2M
Q4 2024$25.2M-38%

PZZA has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

PZZA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+86K shares
3 years+1%+329K shares
5 years-9.8%-3.6M shares
Available history+4.7%+1.5M shares

PZZA has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PZZA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

PZZA's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

PZZA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic13.3Oversold

PZZA's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on valuation relative to its sector.

PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPZZASector medianRelative
PE25x18x40% above
PE %294718 pts below

PZZA is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PZZA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.2% below
20 week MA$23.819% below
50 week MA$30.838% below
100 week MA$37.248% below
200 week MA$51.463% below

PZZA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over PZZA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PZZA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.5$87.5+36%
2021$87.5$132.6+51%
2022$132.6$84.0-37%
2023$84.0$76.2-9.2%
2024$76.2$39.5-48%
2025$39.5$39.3-0.5%
2026 YTD$39.3$19.2-51%

PZZA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.

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