AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
PLOW has a slight edge over AMZN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
PLOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
PLOW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over PLOW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PLOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $37.54 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $34.13 | -9.1% |
| Current | 14x | $37.54 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $59.01 | +57% |
| Expensive | 25x | $69.11 | +84% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLOW's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
PLOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
PLOW has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over PLOW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PLOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.31 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.76 | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.20 | -21% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.22 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.96 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.75 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.78 | +136% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.71 | +132% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.34 | +144% |
PLOW earned $2.76 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
PLOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $218M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $214.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $137.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $184.5M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $162.1M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $194.3M | -2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $115.1M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $143.5M | +6.9% |
PLOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $218M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +4.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.7% | -27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | +9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9% | -0.4 points |
PLOW has the edge over AMZN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
PLOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.2M | -$14.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.3M | -$14M |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -$657K |
| Q4 2025 | $92.8M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.4M | +$3.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$14.3M | -1816% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.5M | +$18.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $70.2M | -4.8% |
PLOW has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
PLOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -57.2K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -37.9K shares |
| 3 years | +2.4% | +549K shares |
| 5 years | +2.4% | +548K shares |
| Available history | +3.2% | +720K shares |
PLOW has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $3M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PLOW spent $6M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN has the edge over PLOW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PLOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
PLOW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
PLOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.8 | Oversold |
PLOW's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
PLOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PLOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 18 | 47 | 29 pts below |
PLOW has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN has the edge over PLOW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PLOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.0 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $41.7 | 9.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $34.8 | 7.7% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.5 | 19% above |
PLOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 19% above its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over PLOW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PLOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.3 | $42.3 | -24% |
| 2021 | $42.3 | $38.7 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $38.7 | $35.7 | -7.8% |
| 2023 | $35.7 | $29.7 | -17% |
| 2024 | $29.7 | $23.3 | -21% |
| 2025 | $23.3 | $33.4 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.4 | $37.5 | +12% |
PLOW has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.