AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has the edge over PDD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
PDD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
PDD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PDD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.
PDD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.2x | $77.53 | — |
| Cheap | 9.9x | $94.09 | +21% |
| Fair | 17x | $164 | +112% |
| Expensive | 32x | $303 | +291% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PDD has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
AMZN has the edge over PDD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
PDD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PDD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over PDD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PDD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $9.46 | -4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.81 | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.05 | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.35 | -5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.93 | -1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.05 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.41 | +86% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.00 | +132% |
PDD earned $9.46 per share over the past year, down 4.7% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN has the edge over PDD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
PDD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $16.9B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.6B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.2B | +9% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.4B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.6B | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $14.9B | +44% |
PDD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $16.9B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 25% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -8.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 24% | +0.3 points |
PDD has the edge over AMZN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
PDD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.9B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.9B | +66% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B | -21% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.1B | -15% |
PDD has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
PDD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
PDD has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
PDD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.1 | Neutral |
PDD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
PDD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PDD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.2x | 18x | 54% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
PDD has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN has the edge over PDD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PDD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $79.2 | 2.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $82.3 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $93.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $104.0 | 25% below |
| 200 week MA | $107.0 | 28% below |
PDD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over PDD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PDD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.2 | $152.8 | +289% |
| 2021 | $152.8 | $57.7 | -62% |
| 2022 | $57.7 | $84.0 | +46% |
| 2023 | $84.0 | $146.3 | +74% |
| 2024 | $146.3 | $97.5 | -33% |
| 2025 | $97.5 | $115.0 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $115.0 | $77.5 | -33% |
PDD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +289% in 2020 to −62% in 2021. It's down 33% so far in 2026.