AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over PDD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PDD

PDD Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PDD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PDD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

PDD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

PDD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.2x$77.53—
Cheap9.9x$94.09+21%
Fair17x$164+112%
Expensive32x$303+291%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PDD has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over PDD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

PDD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PDD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PDD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PDD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$98.31
Downside-21%$61.47

Calculated from the latest close: $77.53 on Nov 12.

PDD trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over PDD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PDD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.75Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $10.05Q3 2024: $11.00Q4 2024: $11.41Q1 2025: $10.05Q2 2025: $9.93Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $10.05Q1 2026: $9.81Q2 2026: $9.46
Q3 2023: $4.75Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $10.05Q3 2024: $11.00Q4 2024: $11.41Q1 2025: $10.05Q2 2025: $9.93Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $10.05Q1 2026: $9.81Q2 2026: $9.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$9.46-4.7%
Q1 2026$9.81-2.4%
Q4 2025$10.05-12%
Q3 2025$10.35-5.9%
Q2 2025$9.93-1.2%
Q1 2025$10.05+23%
Q4 2024$11.41+86%
Q3 2024$11.00+132%

PDD earned $9.46 per share over the past year, down 4.7% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over PDD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PDD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13BQ2 2024: $14.6BQ3 2024: $14.9BQ4 2024: $16.6BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $16.2BQ4 2025: $18.6BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $16.9B
Q3 2023: $10.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13BQ2 2024: $14.6BQ3 2024: $14.9BQ4 2024: $16.6BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $16.2BQ4 2025: $18.6BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $16.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$16.9B+8.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+11%
Q4 2025$18.6B+12%
Q3 2025$16.2B+9%
Q2 2025$15.6B+7.1%
Q1 2025$14.4B+10%
Q4 2024$16.6B+24%
Q3 2024$14.9B+44%

PDD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $16.9B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

PDD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3.9B
Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.9B+19%
Q1 2026$2.5B+6%
Q4 2025$3.6B-16%
Q3 2025$6.9B+66%
Q2 2025$3.2B-51%
Q1 2025$2.3B-26%
Q4 2024$4.3B-21%
Q3 2024$4.1B-15%

PDD has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

PDD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5B
Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-6.5M shares
1 year-0.6%-8.4M shares
3 years+1%+15.2M shares
5 years+3.1%+43.6M shares
Available history+27%+311M shares

PDD has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PDD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PDD has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

PDD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.2Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

PDD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PDD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPDDSector medianRelative
PE8.2x18x54% below
PE %24745 pts below

PDD has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over PDD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PDD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.22.1% below
20 week MA$82.35.8% below
50 week MA$93.317% below
100 week MA$104.025% below
200 week MA$107.028% below

PDD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over PDD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PDD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.2$152.8+289%
2021$152.8$57.7-62%
2022$57.7$84.0+46%
2023$84.0$146.3+74%
2024$146.3$97.5-33%
2025$97.5$115.0+18%
2026 YTD$115.0$77.5-33%

PDD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +289% in 2020 to −62% in 2021. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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