PDD

PDD Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PDD's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 25% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 22%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

PDD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

PDD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

PDD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.2x$77.53—
Cheap9.9x$94.09+21%
Fair17x$164+112%
Expensive32x$303+291%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PDD's PE is 8.2x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PDD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PDD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

PDD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$98.31
Downside-21%$61.47

Calculated from the latest close: $77.53 on Nov 12.

PDD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +27% against −21%.

PDD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.75Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $10.05Q3 2024: $11.00Q4 2024: $11.41Q1 2025: $10.05Q2 2025: $9.93Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $10.05Q1 2026: $9.81Q2 2026: $9.46
Q3 2023: $4.75Q4 2023: $6.15Q1 2024: $8.16Q2 2024: $10.05Q3 2024: $11.00Q4 2024: $11.41Q1 2025: $10.05Q2 2025: $9.93Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $10.05Q1 2026: $9.81Q2 2026: $9.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$9.46-4.7%
Q1 2026$9.81-2.4%
Q4 2025$10.05-12%
Q3 2025$10.35-5.9%
Q2 2025$9.93-1.2%
Q1 2025$10.05+23%
Q4 2024$11.41+86%
Q3 2024$11.00+132%

PDD earned $9.46 per share over the past year, down 4.7% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PDD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13BQ2 2024: $14.6BQ3 2024: $14.9BQ4 2024: $16.6BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $16.2BQ4 2025: $18.6BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $16.9B
Q3 2023: $10.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13BQ2 2024: $14.6BQ3 2024: $14.9BQ4 2024: $16.6BQ1 2025: $14.4BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $16.2BQ4 2025: $18.6BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $16.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$16.9B+8.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+11%
Q4 2025$18.6B+12%
Q3 2025$16.2B+9%
Q2 2025$15.6B+7.1%
Q1 2025$14.4B+10%
Q4 2024$16.6B+24%
Q3 2024$14.9B+44%

PDD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $16.9B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PDD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3.9B
Q3 2023: $4.9BQ4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.9B+19%
Q1 2026$2.5B+6%
Q4 2025$3.6B-16%
Q3 2025$6.9B+66%
Q2 2025$3.2B-51%
Q1 2025$2.3B-26%
Q4 2024$4.3B-21%
Q3 2024$4.1B-15%

PDD generated $16.8B in free cash flow over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

PDD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5B
Q3 2023: 1.5BQ4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-6.5M shares
1 year-0.6%-8.4M shares
3 years+1%+15.2M shares
5 years+3.1%+43.6M shares
Available history+27%+311M shares

PDD has 1.5B diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

PDD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.4xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PDD has more cash than debt.

PDD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.2Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

PDD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PDD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPDDSector medianRelative
PE8.2x18x54% below
PE %24745 pts below

PDD is trading at 8.2x earnings, a 54% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

PDD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.22.1% below
20 week MA$82.35.8% below
50 week MA$93.317% below
100 week MA$104.025% below
200 week MA$107.028% below

PDD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

PDD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.2$152.8+289%
2021$152.8$57.7-62%
2022$57.7$84.0+46%
2023$84.0$146.3+74%
2024$146.3$97.5-33%
2025$97.5$115.0+18%
2026 YTD$115.0$77.5-33%

PDD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +289% in 2020 to −62% in 2021. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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