AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ORLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

56
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ORLY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ORLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ORLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ORLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$70.95-23%
Fair26x$83.95-8.3%
Forward26x$91.56—
Current28x$91.56—
Expensive31x$102+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORLY's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ORLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ORLY has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ORLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ORLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$106.05
Downside-13%$80.07

Calculated from the latest close: $91.56 on Nov 12.

ORLY trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ORLY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.57+9.2%
Q3 2026$3.27+13%
Q2 2026$3.15+13%
Q1 2026$3.07+13%
Q4 2025$2.97+9.6%
Q3 2025$2.89+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.80+5.7%
Q1 2025$2.72+3.4%
Q4 2024$2.71+5.4%

ORLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.27 over the past year, up 13% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for AMZN versus up 7.8% for ORLY.

ORLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2025$4.7B+7.8%
Q2 2025$4.5B+5.9%
Q1 2025$4.1B+4%
Q4 2024$4.1B+6.9%
Q3 2024$4.4B+3.8%
Q2 2024$4.3B+5%
Q1 2024$4B+7.2%
Q4 2023$3.8B+5.1%

ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ORLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.5M-18%
Q2 2026$698.9M+53%
Q1 2026$788.5M+68%
Q4 2025$364.5M+9.1%
Q3 2025$304.4M-41%
Q2 2025$456.1M-37%
Q1 2025$468.2M+2.9%
Q4 2024$334M+26%

ORLY has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ORLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-16.7M shares
1 year-4.7%-40.5M shares
3 years-11%-96.6M shares
5 years-22%-226M shares
Available history-30%-355M shares

ORLY has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over ORLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ORLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

ORLY's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ORLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic62.9Neutral

ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over ORLY on valuation relative to its sector.

ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricORLYSector medianRelative
PE28x18x56% above
PE %674720 pts above

ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over ORLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.33.7% above
20 week MA$88.33.7% above
50 week MA$90.90.7% above
100 week MA$92.20.7% below
200 week MA$79.615% above

ORLY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over ORLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$30.8+5.6%
2021$30.8$45.3+47%
2022$45.3$55.6+23%
2023$55.6$63.3+14%
2024$63.3$79.8+26%
2025$79.8$92.3+16%
2026 YTD$92.3$91.6-0.7%

ORLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

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