AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over MTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MTH

Meritage Homes Corporation

25
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

MTH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

MTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
Unavailable
Under pressure

MTH's profitability is currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over MTH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.0x8.1x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$21.55-67%
Fair7.7x$34.14-47%
Expensive11x$46.91-28%
Current15x$64.80—
Forward16x$64.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTH's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 16x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over MTH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MTH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$74.83
Downside-37%$41.04

Calculated from the latest close: $64.80 on Nov 12.

MTH trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over MTH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.96Q1 2024: $10.72Q2 2024: $11.37Q3 2024: $11.05Q4 2024: $10.72Q1 2025: $9.88Q2 2025: $8.77Q3 2025: $7.49Q4 2025: $6.35Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $4.81Q3 2026: $4.46Forward: $3.93
Q4 2023: $9.96Q1 2024: $10.72Q2 2024: $11.37Q3 2024: $11.05Q4 2024: $10.72Q1 2025: $9.88Q2 2025: $8.77Q3 2025: $7.49Q4 2025: $6.35Q1 2026: $5.48Q2 2026: $4.81Q3 2026: $4.46Forward: $3.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.93-12%
Q3 2026$4.46-40%
Q2 2026$4.81-45%
Q1 2026$5.48-45%
Q4 2025$6.35-41%
Q3 2025$7.49-32%
Q2 2025$8.77-23%
Q1 2025$9.88-7.8%
Q4 2024$10.72+7.6%

MTH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.46 over the past year, against $13.37 in late 2022.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

MTH and AMZN do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

MTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$111MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: −$125MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: −$107MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$104MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: −$111MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: −$125MQ3 2024: −$100MQ4 2024: −$107MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$104MQ4 2025: $238MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.3M+$69M
Q2 2026$183.9M+2552%
Q1 2026$97M+$145.2M
Q4 2025$238.1M+$345.1M
Q3 2025-$104.3M-$4.3M
Q2 2025$6.9M+$131.8M
Q1 2025-$48.2M-164%
Q4 2024-$107M+$4.4M

MTH has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

MTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-1M shares
1 year-8.5%-6.1M shares
3 years-12%-9M shares
5 years-15%-11.3M shares
Available history-16%-12.7M shares

MTH has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over MTH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MTH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

MTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic46.3Neutral

MTH's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMTHSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %984751 pts above

MTH has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over MTH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.52% above
20 week MA$68.45.3% below
50 week MA$69.16.2% below
100 week MA$70.47.9% below
200 week MA$73.412% below

MTH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 12% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over MTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.7$44.2+44%
2021$44.2$58.5+32%
2022$58.5$46.1-21%
2023$46.1$87.1+89%
2024$87.1$77.1-12%
2025$77.1$66.8-13%
2026 YTD$66.8$64.8-3%

MTH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 3% so far in 2026.

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