AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over LULU overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

LULU

Lululemon Athletica Inc.

54
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LULU offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LULU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

LULU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$104—
Forward13x$104—
Cheap14x$167+60%
Fair40x$490+369%
Expensive69x$834+699%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LULU has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over LULU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LULU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Broad
Low

Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LULU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LULU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$130.99
Downside-30%$73.23

Calculated from the latest close: $104.46 on Nov 12.

LULU trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over LULU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LULU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.19-33%
Q3 2026$12.17-17%
Q2 2026$12.35-16%
Q1 2026$13.26-9.4%
Q4 2025$14.37+3.8%
Q3 2025$14.65+13%
Q2 2025$14.70+18%
Q1 2025$14.64+20%
Q4 2024$13.84+76%

LULU earned $12.17 per share over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over LULU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LULU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q2 2026$2.5B+4.3%
Q1 2026$3.6B+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.6B+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.5B+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.4B+7.3%
Q1 2025$3.6B+13%
Q4 2024$2.4B+8.7%

LULU's revenue has held roughly level: $2.4B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

LULU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$225.2M+49%
Q2 2026$87.1M+$358.3M
Q1 2026$959.7M-18%
Q4 2025$82.4M-33%
Q3 2025$150.8M-49%
Q2 2025-$271.2M-$268.1M
Q1 2025$1.2B-0.9%
Q4 2024$122.2M-46%

LULU has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

LULU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-2.6M shares
1 year-5.6%-6.8M shares
3 years-11%-14.3M shares
5 years-13%-17.6M shares
Available history-14%-17.9M shares

LULU has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LULU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

LULU has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LULU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic44.5Neutral

LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLULUSector medianRelative
PE8.6x18x52% below
PE %24745 pts below

LULU has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over LULU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LULU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.13.3% above
20 week MA$109.24.3% below
50 week MA$141.526% below
100 week MA$202.248% below
200 week MA$281.963% below

LULU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 63% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over LULU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LULU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.0$351.4+53%
2021$351.4$391.6+11%
2022$391.6$311.5-20%
2023$311.5$511.3+64%
2024$511.3$386.7-24%
2025$386.7$209.0-46%
2026 YTD$209.0$104.5-50%

LULU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

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