AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc.

37
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LGIH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LGIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over LGIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LGIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$20.61-50%
Fair11x$33.17-19%
Expensive14x$42.66+3.7%
Current14x$41.12—
Forward15x$41.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LGIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGIH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LGIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$56.52
Downside-30%$28.93

Calculated from the latest close: $41.12 on Nov 12.

LGIH trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.67-12%
Q3 2026$3.04-33%
Q2 2026$2.84-57%
Q1 2026$3.04-61%
Q4 2025$3.12-62%
Q3 2025$4.53-46%
Q2 2025$6.63-19%
Q1 2025$7.75-3.1%
Q4 2024$8.30-1.4%

LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$444.5M+12%
Q2 2026$516M+6.7%
Q1 2026$319.7M-9%
Q4 2025$474M-15%
Q3 2025$396.6M-39%
Q2 2025$483.5M-20%
Q1 2025$351.4M-10%
Q4 2024$557.4M-8.4%

LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

LGIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$51.2M
Q2 2026$113.7M+$200.2M
Q1 2026-$56.2M+$71.7M
Q4 2025$86.8M+54%
Q3 2025-$13.3M+$4.6M
Q2 2025-$86.4M-$2.7M
Q1 2025-$128M-$27.5M
Q4 2024$56.4M+$90.7M

LGIH has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LGIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+187K shares
1 year+1.4%+317K shares
3 years-0.7%-175K shares
5 years-5.5%-1.4M shares
Available history-7.7%-2M shares

LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LGIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 202519.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20246.6xHigh

LGIH has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

LGIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLGIHSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %804733 pts above

LGIH has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LGIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.88.2% below
20 week MA$52.121% below
50 week MA$49.717% below
100 week MA$56.127% below
200 week MA$83.951% below

LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over LGIH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LGIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.5$112.7+60%
2021$112.7$152.2+35%
2022$152.2$94.8-38%
2023$94.8$133.2+40%
2024$133.2$89.6-33%
2025$89.6$43.2-52%
2026 YTD$43.2$41.1-4.8%

LGIH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.8% so far in 2026.

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