AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over HD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

HD

The Home Depot, Inc.

58
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

HD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

HD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HD's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over HD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$275-21%
Forward22x$348—
Fair23x$334-4.1%
Current24x$348—
Expensive26x$372+6.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HD's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

HD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect HD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$409.68
Downside-14%$300.53

Calculated from the latest close: $348.26 on Nov 12.

HD trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over HD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.59Q1 2024: $15.11Q2 2024: $14.92Q3 2024: $14.87Q4 2024: $14.73Q1 2025: $14.91Q2 2025: $14.73Q3 2025: $14.71Q4 2025: $14.66Q1 2026: $14.23Q2 2026: $14.08Q3 2026: $14.29Forward: $15.68
Q4 2023: $15.59Q1 2024: $15.11Q2 2024: $14.92Q3 2024: $14.87Q4 2024: $14.73Q1 2025: $14.91Q2 2025: $14.73Q3 2025: $14.71Q4 2025: $14.66Q1 2026: $14.23Q2 2026: $14.08Q3 2026: $14.29Forward: $15.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.68+9.7%
Q3 2026$14.29-2.9%
Q2 2026$14.08-4.4%
Q1 2026$14.23-4.6%
Q4 2025$14.66-0.5%
Q3 2025$14.71-1.1%
Q2 2025$14.73-1.3%
Q1 2025$14.91-1.3%
Q4 2024$14.73-5.5%

HD earned $14.29 per share over the past year, down 2.9% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over HD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $37.7BQ1 2024: $34.8BQ2 2024: $36.4BQ3 2024: $43.2BQ4 2024: $40.2BQ1 2025: $39.7BQ2 2025: $39.9BQ3 2025: $45.3BQ4 2025: $41.4BQ1 2026: $38.2BQ2 2026: $41.8BQ3 2026: $47.9B
Q4 2023: $37.7BQ1 2024: $34.8BQ2 2024: $36.4BQ3 2024: $43.2BQ4 2024: $40.2BQ1 2025: $39.7BQ2 2025: $39.9BQ3 2025: $45.3BQ4 2025: $41.4BQ1 2026: $38.2BQ2 2026: $41.8BQ3 2026: $47.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47.9B+5.7%
Q2 2026$41.8B+4.8%
Q1 2026$38.2B-3.8%
Q4 2025$41.4B+2.8%
Q3 2025$45.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$39.9B+9.4%
Q1 2025$39.7B+14%
Q4 2024$40.2B+6.6%

HD's revenue has held roughly level: $47.9B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

HD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $4.5B
Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $4.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.5B+21%
Q2 2026$5.2B+47%
Q1 2026$2.3B-36%
Q4 2025$3.1B-8.9%
Q3 2025$3.7B-21%
Q2 2025$3.5B-24%
Q1 2025$3.6B-7.9%
Q4 2024$3.4B-4.2%

HD has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

HD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 999MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 992MQ3 2024: 992MQ4 2024: 993MQ1 2025: 993MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 994MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 995MQ2 2026: 996MQ3 2026: 996M
Q4 2023: 999MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 992MQ3 2024: 992MQ4 2024: 993MQ1 2025: 993MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 994MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 995MQ2 2026: 996MQ3 2026: 996M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.2%+2M shares
3 years-0.7%-7M shares
5 years-6.2%-66M shares
Available history-9%-98M shares

HD has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over HD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate

HD's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

HD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.0Neutral
Stochastic75.1Neutral

HD's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over HD on valuation relative to its sector.

HD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHDSector medianRelative
PE24x18x35% above
PE %664719 pts above

HD is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over HD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$314.711% above
20 week MA$325.67% above
50 week MA$337.93.1% above
100 week MA$359.23% below
200 week MA$349.20.3% below

HD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.3% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over HD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$220.0$270.9+23%
2021$270.9$397.1+47%
2022$397.1$318.7-20%
2023$318.7$346.6+8.7%
2024$346.6$392.9+13%
2025$392.9$349.8-11%
2026 YTD$349.8$348.3-0.4%

HD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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