AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GPC

Genuine Parts Company

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

GPC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

GPC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over GPC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GPC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x276x414x552x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$123—
Cheap16x$4.20-97%
Fair20x$5.27-96%
Expensive25x$6.41-95%
Current472x$123—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

GPC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GPC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$158.82
Downside-26%$90.70

Calculated from the latest close: $122.84 on Nov 12.

GPC trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over GPC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
Q4 2023: $9.33Q1 2024: $8.97Q2 2024: $8.64Q3 2024: $7.77Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.09Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.81Q4 2025: $0.47Q1 2026: $0.44Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $7.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.93+2951%
Q3 2026$0.26-96%
Q2 2026$0.26-96%
Q1 2026$0.44-93%
Q4 2025$0.47-93%
Q3 2025$5.81-25%
Q2 2025$5.81-33%
Q1 2025$6.09-32%
Q4 2024$6.47-31%

GPC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.26 over the past year, against $9.33 in late 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over GPC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GPC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.2BQ3 2025: $6.3BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $6.3BQ2 2026: $6.5BQ3 2026: $6.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.5B+4.2%
Q2 2026$6.5B+6%
Q1 2026$6.3B+6.8%
Q4 2025$6B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.3B+4.9%
Q2 2025$6.2B+3.4%
Q1 2025$5.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$5.8B+3.3%

GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

GPC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$161MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $292MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243.4M+1.5%
Q2 2026$292.4M+261%
Q1 2026-$33.6M+$127M
Q4 2025$260.7M+$287.4M
Q3 2025$240M-33%
Q2 2025$81M-46%
Q1 2025-$160.7M-179%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-114%

GPC has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

GPC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 140MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 140MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 139MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+354K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.1M shares
3 years-1.8%-2.6M shares
5 years-3.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5.5%-8.1M shares

GPC has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over GPC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GPC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 7.9xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 9.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20269.0xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20257.9xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.4xModerate

GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

GPC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over GPC on valuation relative to its sector.

GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPCSector medianRelative
PE472x18x2,522% above
PE %964749 pts above

GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over GPC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GPC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.92.4% below
20 week MA$129.14.8% below
50 week MA$121.51.1% above
100 week MA$123.50.6% below
200 week MA$135.79.5% below

GPC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.5% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over GPC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GPC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$106.2$99.4-6.5%
2021$99.4$135.4+36%
2022$135.4$176.6+30%
2023$176.6$138.5-22%
2024$138.5$117.0-16%
2025$117.0$125.9+7.6%
2026 YTD$125.9$122.8-2.4%

GPC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.4% so far in 2026.

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