AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has a slight edge over CVNA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

CVNA

Carvana Co.

72
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CVNA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

CVNA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

CVNA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over CVNA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVNA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x125x167x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current34x$70.84—
Forward35x$70.84—
Cheap36x$75.86+7.1%
Fair83x$173+144%
Expensive113x$235+231%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVNA's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

CVNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CVNA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CVNA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVNA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$122.47
Downside-29%$50.56

Calculated from the latest close: $70.84 on Nov 12.

CVNA trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over CVNA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVNA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.69Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $1.89Q3 2026: $2.08Forward: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.05-1.4%
Q3 2026$2.08+136%
Q2 2026$1.89+136%
Q1 2026$1.73+204%
Q4 2025$1.69+428%
Q3 2023-$1.22+$0.57
Q2 2023-$2.51-$1.18
Q1 2023-$2.87-$2.06
Q4 2022-$3.15-$2.82

CVNA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.08 over the past year, up 136% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVNA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $4.2BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.4BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B+42%
Q2 2026$7.4B+52%
Q1 2026$6.4B+52%
Q4 2025$5.6B+58%
Q3 2025$5.6B+55%
Q2 2025$4.8B+42%
Q1 2025$4.2B+38%
Q4 2024$3.5B+46%

CVNA has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

CVNA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
Q4 2023: −$257MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $376MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $379MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $491M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$491M+60%
Q2 2026$187M+$189M
Q1 2026$56M-73%
Q4 2025$379M+953%
Q3 2025$307M-18%
Q2 2025-$2M-101%
Q1 2025$205M+147%
Q4 2024$36M+$293M

CVNA has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over CVNA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CVNA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
Q1 2024: 581MQ2 2024: 642MQ3 2024: 668MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 716MQ3 2025: 731MQ1 2026: 740MQ2 2026: 740MQ3 2026: 740M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-50K shares
1 year+3.3%+23.8M shares
3 years+40%+211M shares
5 years+123%+408M shares

CVNA has 740M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CVNA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2021186.0xHigh
Q2 2021128.9xHigh

CVNA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CVNA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic67.9Neutral

CVNA's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over CVNA on valuation relative to its sector.

CVNA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVNASector medianRelative
PE34x18x89% above
PE %84739 pts below

CVNA is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over CVNA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CVNA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.28.6% above
20 week MA$67.35.3% above
50 week MA$71.30.7% below
100 week MA$64.79.5% above
200 week MA$40.276% above

CVNA's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 76% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over CVNA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CVNA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$54.9+181%
2021$54.9$48.2-12%
2022$48.2$0.81-98%
2023$0.81$10.6+1207%
2024$10.6$43.0+306%
2025$43.0$87.7+104%
2026 YTD$87.7$70.8-19%

CVNA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1207% in 2023 to −98% in 2022. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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