AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over CASY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CASY

Casey's General Stores, Inc.

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CASY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

CASY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

CASY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over CASY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CASY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$442-38%
Fair24x$506-28%
Forward32x$707—
Expensive34x$7070%
Current34x$707—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CASY's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

CASY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CASY, with profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CASY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CASY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$900.07
Downside-12%$624.19

Calculated from the latest close: $706.63 on Nov 12.

CASY trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over CASY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CASY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.91Q1 2024: $12.57Q2 2024: $13.43Q3 2024: $13.74Q4 2024: $14.35Q1 2025: $14.35Q2 2025: $14.64Q3 2025: $15.58Q4 2025: $16.26Q1 2026: $17.42Q2 2026: $19.16Q3 2026: $20.76Forward: $22.23
Q4 2023: $12.91Q1 2024: $12.57Q2 2024: $13.43Q3 2024: $13.74Q4 2024: $14.35Q1 2025: $14.35Q2 2025: $14.64Q3 2025: $15.58Q4 2025: $16.26Q1 2026: $17.42Q2 2026: $19.16Q3 2026: $20.76Forward: $22.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.23+7.1%
Q3 2026$20.76+33%
Q2 2026$19.16+31%
Q1 2026$17.42+21%
Q4 2025$16.26+13%
Q3 2025$15.58+13%
Q2 2025$14.64+9%
Q1 2025$14.35+14%
Q4 2024$14.35+11%

CASY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $20.76 over the past year, up 33% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over CASY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CASY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+24%
Q2 2026$4.6B+15%
Q1 2026$3.9B+0.3%
Q4 2025$4.5B+14%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B+11%
Q1 2025$3.9B+17%
Q4 2024$3.9B-2.9%

CASY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $5.7B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

CASY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $153MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $190M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $153MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$189.7M-28%
Q2 2026$207.4M+35%
Q1 2026$75.8M-16%
Q4 2025$176M+10%
Q3 2025$262.4M+45%
Q2 2025$153.1M+66%
Q1 2025$90.7M+$117.6M
Q4 2024$160M+9.9%

CASY has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CASY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-139K shares
1 year-0.6%-210K shares
3 years-0.8%-314K shares
5 years-0.5%-193K shares
Available history0%+6.1K shares

CASY has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CASY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20202.3xModerate
Q4 20192.3xModerate

CASY's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CASY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic37.7Neutral

CASY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over CASY on valuation relative to its sector.

CASY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCASYSector medianRelative
PE34x18x89% above
PE %834736 pts above

CASY is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over CASY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CASY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$665.76.2% above
20 week MA$738.84.3% below
50 week MA$717.31.5% below
100 week MA$596.818% above
200 week MA$446.958% above

CASY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

CASY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$157.4$177.7+13%
2021$177.7$194.6+9.5%
2022$194.6$235.3+21%
2023$235.3$274.7+17%
2024$274.7$404.0+47%
2025$404.0$568.8+41%
2026 YTD$568.8$706.6+24%

CASY has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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