AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CARG
CarGurus, Inc.
CARG has the edge over AMZN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
CARG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CARG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.
CARG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $34.27 | — |
| Current | 17x | $34.27 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $47.19 | +38% |
| Fair | 37x | $74.22 | +117% |
| Expensive | 86x | $171 | +399% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CARG has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
CARG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
CARG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.94 | +49% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.98 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.84 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.52 | +311% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.55 | +675% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.49 | +$1.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.25 | +$1.74 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.37 | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.20 | +5.3% |
CARG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.98 over the past year, up 33% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN has the edge over CARG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, up 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CARG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $258.4M | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $251M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $243.6M | +8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $241.1M | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $238.7M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $234M | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $225.2M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $228.5M | +2.4% |
CARG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $258M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 25% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 49% | +26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +53 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +8.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | +33 points |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
CARG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $79.8M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $94M | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $69.5M | +5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.9M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $69.8M | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.5M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $65.6M | +182% |
| Q4 2024 | $65.5M | +$78.5M |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
CARG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -955K shares |
| 1 year | -9.6% | -9.6M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -24.2M shares |
| 5 years | -25% | -29.3M shares |
| Available history | -21% | -23.3M shares |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $27.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $174.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $57M |
| Q3 2025 | $110.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $182.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
CARG spent $282M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.3% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
CARG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
CARG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.4 | Neutral |
CARG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
CARG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CARG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 3.9% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
CARG has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.
CARG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $31.5 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.9 | 1% above |
| 50 week MA | $33.5 | 2.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $33.5 | 2.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.2 | 21% above |
CARG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% above its 200-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over CARG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CARG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.7 | $33.7 | -5.7% |
| 2021 | $33.7 | $33.6 | -0.4% |
| 2022 | $33.6 | $13.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $24.2 | +79% |
| 2024 | $24.2 | $37.1 | +53% |
| 2025 | $37.1 | $38.6 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.6 | $34.3 | -11% |
CARG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.