AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over BLMN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

BLMN

Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

65
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

BLMN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

BLMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BLMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over BLMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.3x$10.12—
Cheap9.8x$8.08-20%
Current12x$10.12—
Fair22x$18.19+80%
Expensive34x$27.95+176%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLMN's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

BLMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BLMN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLMN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$15.29
Downside-29%$7.21

Calculated from the latest close: $10.12 on Nov 12.

BLMN trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over BLMN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $0.67Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-1.49Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $1.09
Q4 2023: $2.56Q1 2024: $0.67Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $-1.49Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.09+33%
Q3 2026$0.82+$1.49
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.36
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.28
Q4 2025$0.10+$1.59
Q3 2025-$0.67-$0.59
Q2 2025-$0.05-117%
Q1 2025-$0.03-104%
Q4 2024-$1.49-158%

BLMN has returned to profit: it earned $0.82 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over BLMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $972MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $929MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $944M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $972MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $929MQ4 2025: $975MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $944M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$944.3M+1.7%
Q2 2026$1B+1.3%
Q1 2026$1.1B+1%
Q4 2025$975.2M+0.3%
Q3 2025$928.8M-11%
Q2 2025$1B-10%
Q1 2025$1B-12%
Q4 2024$972M-19%

BLMN's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $944M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

BLMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$75MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$39M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$75MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: −$39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.2M-$33.5M
Q2 2026$46.9M+321%
Q1 2026$50.1M+81%
Q4 2025$63.7M-35%
Q3 2025-$5.7M+$69.2M
Q2 2025$11.1M+$35.4M
Q1 2025$27.7M+211%
Q4 2024$97.7M+58%

BLMN has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

BLMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 86M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 89MQ3 2024: 86MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 86M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-587K shares
1 year+0.6%+543K shares
3 years-13%-12.9M shares
5 years-21%-22.1M shares
Available history-4.6%-4.1M shares

BLMN has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over BLMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

BLMN's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BLMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic53.6Neutral

BLMN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BLMN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBLMNSector medianRelative
PE12x18x32% below
PE %314716 pts below

BLMN has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over BLMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.328.6% above
20 week MA$9.358.2% above
50 week MA$7.8629% above
100 week MA$8.2523% above
200 week MA$15.736% below

BLMN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

BLMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.7$19.0-13%
2021$19.0$21.0+11%
2022$21.0$21.00%
2023$21.0$28.2+34%
2024$28.2$12.3-56%
2025$12.3$6.79-45%
2026 YTD$6.79$10.1+49%

BLMN has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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