AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ASO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

53
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ASO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ASO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ASO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ASO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$39.11-42%
Fair8.2x$48.95-27%
Expensive9.6x$57.29-15%
Forward9.7x$67.29—
Current11x$67.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ASO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$81.62
Downside-29%$47.52

Calculated from the latest close: $67.29 on Nov 12.

ASO trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ASO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+16%
Q3 2026$5.98+12%
Q2 2026$5.66+4%
Q1 2026$5.54-4%
Q4 2025$5.47-10%
Q3 2025$5.34-18%
Q2 2025$5.44-17%
Q1 2025$5.77-14%
Q4 2024$6.09-6%

ASO earned $5.98 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over ASO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+6.7%
Q1 2026$1.7B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+3.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.9%
Q1 2025$1.7B-6.6%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.9%

ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ASO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.1M+432%
Q2 2026$121.7M+14%
Q1 2026$107.2M+40%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-139%
Q3 2025$21.8M-56%
Q2 2025$106.6M-36%
Q1 2025$76.4M-57%
Q4 2024$34.4M+126%

ASO has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ASO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.6%-2.4M shares
1 year-6.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-19%-14.5M shares
5 years-34%-32.3M shares
Available history-19%-15M shares

ASO has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ASO has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ASO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricASOSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %994851 pts above

ASO has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

ASO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.016% above
20 week MA$51.730% above
50 week MA$53.626% above
100 week MA$50.932% above
200 week MA$53.725% above

ASO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 25% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

ASO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$20.1+55%
2021$20.1$40.1+99%
2022$40.1$51.4+28%
2023$51.4$66.0+28%
2024$66.0$60.1-9%
2025$60.1$50.9-15%
2026 YTD$50.9$67.3+32%

ASO has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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