AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ARKO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ARKO

Arko Corp.

32
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ARKO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ARKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

ARKO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ARKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ARKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$0.99-76%
Fair28x$1.70-59%
Forward29x$4.10—
Expensive62x$3.70-9.9%
Current68x$4.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ARKO's PE is in its expensive range at 68x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ARKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARKO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ARKO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ARKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$5.11
Downside-40%$2.47

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

ARKO trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.15Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+133%
Q3 2026$0.06-45%
Q2 2026$0.080%
Q1 2026$0.20+567%
Q4 2025$0.15+15%
Q3 2025$0.11-27%
Q2 2025$0.08-68%
Q1 2025$0.03-88%
Q4 2024$0.13-46%

ARKO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.06 over the past year, against $0.60 in mid-2022.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+18%
Q2 2026$2.3B+17%
Q1 2026$1.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-9.9%
Q3 2025$2B-11%
Q2 2025$2B-16%
Q1 2025$1.8B-12%
Q4 2024$2B-11%

ARKO's revenue is growing: $2.4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ARKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.5M-147%
Q2 2026$8.9M-9.5%
Q1 2026-$11.6M-173%
Q4 2025$14.9M+$28.3M
Q3 2025$24.5M-69%
Q2 2025$9.8M-83%
Q1 2025$16M+$32.5M
Q4 2024-$13.4M-162%

ARKO has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ARKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 116MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 111MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-36K shares
1 year+0.6%+644K shares
3 years-3.7%-4.4M shares
5 years-13%-18.1M shares
Available history-74%-326M shares

ARKO has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ARKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

ARKO's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ARKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ARKO's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on valuation relative to its sector.

ARKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricARKOSector medianRelative
PE68x18x279% above
PE %854738 pts above

ARKO is trading at 68x earnings, a 279% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ARKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.041.5% above
20 week MA$5.2822% below
50 week MA$5.7829% below
100 week MA$5.3523% below
200 week MA$6.2735% below

ARKO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 35% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over ARKO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ARKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.0$9.44-5.9%
2021$9.44$8.52-9.7%
2022$8.52$8.62+1.2%
2023$8.62$8.25-4.3%
2024$8.25$6.53-21%
2025$6.53$4.64-29%
2026 YTD$4.64$4.10-12%

ARKO has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 12% so far in 2026.

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