AMSF

AMERISAFE, Inc.

44
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

AMSF trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over AMSF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AMSF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

AMSF's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMSF.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

AMSF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9x$19.32—
Forward10x$19.32—
Cheap12x$26.07+35%
Fair15x$31.51+63%
Expensive18x$38.29+98%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMSF has the edge over SOFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

AMSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AMSF's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AMSF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$22.10
Downside-21%$15.26

Calculated from the latest close: $19.32 on Nov 12.

AMSF trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMSF, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMSF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.23Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.15Forward: $1.87
Q4 2023: $3.23Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.15Forward: $1.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.87-13%
Q3 2026$2.15-18%
Q2 2026$2.48-6.1%
Q1 2026$2.43-2%
Q4 2025$2.47-15%
Q3 2025$2.61-18%
Q2 2025$2.64-11%
Q1 2025$2.48-23%
Q4 2024$2.89-11%

AMSF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.15 over the past year, against $4.91 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMSF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $80MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $80MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.8M-2.6%
Q2 2026$92M+13%
Q1 2026$80.1M+10%
Q4 2025$81.6M+10%
Q3 2025$82M+4.2%
Q2 2025$81.1M+6.9%
Q1 2025$72.6M-9.8%
Q4 2024$74M-7.6%

AMSF's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $80M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMSF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.8M-71%
Q2 2026$1.8M+$11.3M
Q1 2026-$2.7M-$930K
Q4 2025$10.5M-3.4%
Q3 2025$9.8M+16%
Q2 2025-$9.5M-$6.9M
Q1 2025-$1.8M-127%
Q4 2024$10.8M+174%

AMSF has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

AMSF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-62.3K shares
1 year-2.3%-432K shares
3 years-3%-584K shares
5 years-4%-768K shares
Available history-3.6%-689K shares

AMSF has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

AMSF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

AMSF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AMSF.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMSF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.6Oversold
Stochastic1.7Oversold

AMSF's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AMSF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAMSFSector medianRelative
PE9x13x31% below
PE %06363 pts below

AMSF has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AMSF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.915% below
20 week MA$26.527% below
50 week MA$31.338% below
100 week MA$38.950% below
200 week MA$44.757% below

AMSF is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AMSF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.7$57.2-13%
2021$57.2$51.6-9.8%
2022$51.6$53.3+3.3%
2023$53.3$46.8-12%
2024$46.8$51.6+10%
2025$51.6$38.5-25%
2026 YTD$38.5$19.3-50%

AMSF has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI has the edge over AMSF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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