AMSF

AMERISAFE, Inc.

44
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

AMSF's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 9.0x earnings, below its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AMSF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

AMSF's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMSF.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AMSF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9x$19.32โ€”
Forward10x$19.32โ€”
Cheap12x$26.07+35%
Fair15x$31.51+63%
Expensive18x$38.29+98%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMSF's PE is in its cheap range at 9.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 10x next year's earnings.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect AMSF's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over AMSF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AMSF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$22.10
Downside-21%$15.26

Calculated from the latest close: $19.32 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AMSF and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AMSF and CIFR's risk to reward.

AMSF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.23Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.15Forward: $1.87
Q4 2023: $3.23Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $3.20Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $2.48Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.48Q3 2026: $2.15Forward: $1.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.87-13%
Q3 2026$2.15-18%
Q2 2026$2.48-6.1%
Q1 2026$2.43-2%
Q4 2025$2.47-15%
Q3 2025$2.61-18%
Q2 2025$2.64-11%
Q1 2025$2.48-23%
Q4 2024$2.89-11%

AMSF has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AMSF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $80MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $80MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.8M-2.6%
Q2 2026$92M+13%
Q1 2026$80.1M+10%
Q4 2025$81.6M+10%
Q3 2025$82M+4.2%
Q2 2025$81.1M+6.9%
Q1 2025$72.6M-9.8%
Q4 2024$74M-7.6%

AMSF has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMSF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.8M-71%
Q2 2026$1.8M+$11.3M
Q1 2026-$2.7M-$930K
Q4 2025$10.5M-3.4%
Q3 2025$9.8M+16%
Q2 2025-$9.5M-$6.9M
Q1 2025-$1.8M-127%
Q4 2024$10.8M+174%

AMSF has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AMSF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-62.3K shares
1 year-2.3%-432K shares
3 years-3%-584K shares
5 years-4%-768K shares
Available history-3.6%-689K shares

AMSF has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AMSF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

AMSF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AMSF.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AMSF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.6Oversold
Stochastic1.7Oversold

AMSF's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AMSF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAMSFSector medianRelative
PE9x13x31% below
PE %06363 pts below

AMSF is trading at 9.0x earnings, a 31% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMSF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.915% below
20 week MA$26.527% below
50 week MA$31.338% below
100 week MA$38.950% below
200 week MA$44.757% below

AMSF is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AMSF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.7$57.2-13%
2021$57.2$51.6-9.8%
2022$51.6$53.3+3.3%
2023$53.3$46.8-12%
2024$46.8$51.6+10%
2025$51.6$38.5-25%
2026 YTD$38.5$19.3-50%

AMSF has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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