AMSF
AMERISAFE, Inc.
AMSF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK has the edge over AMSF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AMSF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AMSF's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AMSF.
BLK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.
AMSF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 9x | $19.32 | — |
| Forward | 10x | $19.32 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $26.07 | +35% |
| Fair | 15x | $31.51 | +63% |
| Expensive | 18x | $38.29 | +98% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMSF has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BLK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $848 | -30% |
| Fair | 22x | $973 | -20% |
| Expensive | 26x | $1,149 | -5.5% |
| Current | 28x | $1,217 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.
AMSF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AMSF's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
BLK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.
AMSF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.87 | -13% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.15 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.48 | -6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.43 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.47 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.61 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.64 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.48 | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.89 | -11% |
AMSF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.15 over the past year, against $4.91 in early 2021.
BLK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.87 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.73 | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.73 | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.31 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.42 | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.89 | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.69 | +5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.53 | +16% |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AMSF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $79.8M | -2.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $92M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $80.1M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.6M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $82M | +4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $81.1M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $72.6M | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $74M | -7.6% |
AMSF's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $80M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | -10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | -7.2 points |
AMSF's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 10 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BLK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +23% |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +9.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -8.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +2.3 points |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMSF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7M | -$930K |
| Q4 2025 | $10.5M | -3.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.8M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.5M | -$6.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.8M | -127% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.8M | +174% |
AMSF's free cash flow was $12M over the past year, up 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AMSF.
BLK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | +$120M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2B | -$734M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.4B | +47% |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AMSF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -62.3K shares |
| 1 year | -2.3% | -432K shares |
| 3 years | -3% | -584K shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -768K shares |
| Available history | -3.6% | -689K shares |
AMSF has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
BLK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -148K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -677K shares |
| 3 years | +9.3% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +6.2% | +9.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.4% | +7M shares |
BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $396M |
| Q1 2025 | $657M |
| Q4 2024 | $386M |
| Q2 2024 | $519M |
| Q1 2024 | $634M |
| Q4 2023 | $384M |
| Q3 2023 | $396M |
| Q2 2023 | $383M |
AMSF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
AMSF has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BLK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
AMSF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 24.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 1.7 | Oversold |
AMSF's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).
BLK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.0 | Neutral |
BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
AMSF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AMSF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9x | 13x | 31% below |
| PE % | 0 | 63 | 63 pts below |
AMSF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.
BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BLK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 113% above |
| PE % | 97 | 63 | 34 pts above |
BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AMSF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.9 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $26.5 | 27% below |
| 50 week MA | $31.3 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.9 | 50% below |
| 200 week MA | $44.7 | 57% below |
AMSF is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.
BLK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,128.0 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,108.9 | 9.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,071.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,051.1 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $914.1 | 33% above |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AMSF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $65.7 | $57.2 | -13% |
| 2021 | $57.2 | $51.6 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $51.6 | $53.3 | +3.3% |
| 2023 | $53.3 | $46.8 | -12% |
| 2024 | $46.8 | $51.6 | +10% |
| 2025 | $51.6 | $38.5 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.5 | $19.3 | -50% |
AMSF has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.
BLK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $503.0 | $707.2 | +41% |
| 2021 | $707.2 | $913.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $913.9 | $703.9 | -23% |
| 2023 | $703.9 | $811.8 | +15% |
| 2024 | $811.8 | $1,044.2 | +29% |
| 2025 | $1,044.2 | $1,088.1 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,088.1 | $1,216.6 | +12% |
BLK has the edge over AMSF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.