AMRC

Ameresco, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

AMRC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over AMRC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Weak
Weak

AMRC's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AMRC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$25.89—
Cheap23x$17.56-32%
Fair32x$24.21-6.5%
Current34x$25.89—
Expensive46x$34.96+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMRC's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over AMRC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMRC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

AMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$40.80
Downside-34%$17.07

Calculated from the latest close: $25.89 on Nov 12.

AMRC trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMRC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AMRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.20Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $1.80
Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.20Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $1.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.80+137%
Q3 2026$0.76-37%
Q2 2026$0.52-56%
Q1 2026$0.58-44%
Q4 2025$0.83-22%
Q3 2025$1.20+21%
Q2 2025$1.18+11%
Q1 2025$1.03-5.5%
Q4 2024$1.07-8.5%

AMRC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $1.98 in late 2022.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over AMRC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $472MQ3 2025: $526MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $401MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $580M
Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $472MQ3 2025: $526MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $401MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $580M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$580.3M+10%
Q2 2026$515.5M+9.1%
Q1 2026$401.5M+14%
Q4 2025$581M+9.1%
Q3 2025$526M+5%
Q2 2025$472.3M+7.8%
Q1 2025$352.8M+18%
Q4 2024$532.7M+21%

AMRC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $580M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over AMRC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$99MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: −$108MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$99MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: −$108MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.5M-153%
Q2 2026-$108.1M-$81.1M
Q1 2026$34.9M+$63.6M
Q4 2025-$98.7M-676%
Q3 2025$18.1M-25%
Q2 2025-$27M-152%
Q1 2025-$28.7M-245%
Q4 2024$17.1M+$47.8M

AMRC has burned cash in most quarters: −$181M over the past year, against −$21M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over AMRC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-160K shares
1 year+0.6%+305K shares
3 years+0.7%+375K shares
5 years+1.6%+836K shares
Available history+12%+5.6M shares

AMRC has 54M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over AMRC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMRC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.2xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.7xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 8.1xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.9x
Q4 2023: 9.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.2xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.7xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 8.1xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.9xHigh
Q2 20267.2xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20258.1xHigh
Q3 20257.7xHigh
Q2 20257.9xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 20247.7xHigh

AMRC's net debt is about 6.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over AMRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic37.7Neutral

AMRC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AMRC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAMRCSector medianRelative
PE34x24x42% above
PE %57581 pt below

AMRC has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

AMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.322% above
20 week MA$22.714% above
50 week MA$26.93.8% below
100 week MA$24.36.5% above
200 week MA$29.913% below

AMRC has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

AMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.5$49.4+183%
2021$49.4$77.9+58%
2022$77.9$56.3-28%
2023$56.3$31.7-44%
2024$31.7$23.2-27%
2025$23.2$30.2+30%
2026 YTD$30.2$25.9-14%

AMRC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +183% in 2020 to −44% in 2023. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over AMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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