AMRC
Ameresco, Inc.
AMRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over AMRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AMRC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
AMRC's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AMRC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $25.89 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $17.56 | -32% |
| Fair | 32x | $24.21 | -6.5% |
| Current | 34x | $25.89 | — |
| Expensive | 46x | $34.96 | +35% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMRC's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMRC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMRC, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AMRC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.85 | +144% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.76 | -37% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.52 | -56% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.58 | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.20 | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.18 | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.03 | -5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.07 | -8.5% |
AMRC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
AMRC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $580.3M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $515.5M | +9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $401.5M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $581M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $526M | +5% |
| Q2 2025 | $472.3M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $352.8M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $532.7M | +21% |
AMRC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $580M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.5% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.1% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.9% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | +0.7 points |
AMRC has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMRC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.5M | -153% |
| Q2 2026 | -$108.1M | -$81.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9M | +$63.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$98.7M | -676% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.1M | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | -$27M | -152% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28.7M | -245% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.1M | +$47.8M |
AMRC has burned cash in most quarters: −$181M over the past year, against −$21M the year before.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
AMRC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -160K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +305K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +375K shares |
| 5 years | +1.6% | +836K shares |
| Available history | +12% | +5.6M shares |
AMRC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AMRC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.7x | High |
AMRC's net debt is about 6.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AMRC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.7 | Neutral |
AMRC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AMRC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AMRC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 24x | 42% above |
| PE % | 57 | 58 | 1 pt below |
AMRC is trading at 34x earnings, a 42% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AMRC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.3 | 22% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.7 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $26.9 | 3.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $24.3 | 6.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $29.9 | 13% below |
AMRC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
AMRC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.5 | $49.4 | +183% |
| 2021 | $49.4 | $77.9 | +58% |
| 2022 | $77.9 | $56.3 | -28% |
| 2023 | $56.3 | $31.7 | -44% |
| 2024 | $31.7 | $23.2 | -27% |
| 2025 | $23.2 | $30.2 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.2 | $25.9 | -14% |
AMRC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +183% in 2020 to −44% in 2023. It's down 14% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over AMRC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.