AMRC

Ameresco, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

AMRC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over AMRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AMRC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Weak
Weak

AMRC's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

AMRC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$25.89—
Cheap23x$17.56-32%
Fair32x$24.21-6.5%
Current34x$25.89—
Expensive46x$34.96+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMRC's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over AMRC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMRC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMRC, with profitability improving.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMRC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$40.80
Downside-34%$17.07

Calculated from the latest close: $25.89 on Nov 12.

AMRC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails AMRC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMRC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.20Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $1.85
Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $0.99Q4 2024: $1.07Q1 2025: $1.03Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.20Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.76Forward: $1.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.85+144%
Q3 2026$0.76-37%
Q2 2026$0.52-56%
Q1 2026$0.58-44%
Q4 2025$0.83-22%
Q3 2025$1.20+21%
Q2 2025$1.18+11%
Q1 2025$1.03-5.5%
Q4 2024$1.07-8.5%

AMRC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $1.98 in late 2022.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over AMRC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMRC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $472MQ3 2025: $526MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $401MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $580M
Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $501MQ4 2024: $533MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $472MQ3 2025: $526MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $401MQ2 2026: $515MQ3 2026: $580M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$580.3M+10%
Q2 2026$515.5M+9.1%
Q1 2026$401.5M+14%
Q4 2025$581M+9.1%
Q3 2025$526M+5%
Q2 2025$472.3M+7.8%
Q1 2025$352.8M+18%
Q4 2024$532.7M+21%

AMRC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $580M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMRC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$99MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: −$108MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$99MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: −$108MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.5M-153%
Q2 2026-$108.1M-$81.1M
Q1 2026$34.9M+$63.6M
Q4 2025-$98.7M-676%
Q3 2025$18.1M-25%
Q2 2025-$27M-152%
Q1 2025-$28.7M-245%
Q4 2024$17.1M+$47.8M

AMRC has burned cash in most quarters: −$181M over the past year, against −$21M the year before.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over AMRC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMRC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 54MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-160K shares
1 year+0.6%+305K shares
3 years+0.7%+375K shares
5 years+1.6%+836K shares
Available history+12%+5.6M shares

AMRC has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

AMRC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.2xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.7xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 8.1xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.9x
Q4 2023: 9.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.2xQ3 2024: 8.7xQ4 2024: 7.7xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 8.1xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 6.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.9xHigh
Q2 20267.2xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20258.1xHigh
Q3 20257.7xHigh
Q2 20257.9xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 20247.7xHigh

AMRC's net debt is about 6.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over AMRC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMRC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic37.7Neutral

AMRC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AMRC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAMRCSector medianRelative
PE34x24x42% above
PE %57581 pt below

AMRC is trading at 34x earnings, a 42% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over AMRC on valuation relative to its sector.

AMRC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.322% above
20 week MA$22.714% above
50 week MA$26.93.8% below
100 week MA$24.36.5% above
200 week MA$29.913% below

AMRC has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

AMRC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.5$49.4+183%
2021$49.4$77.9+58%
2022$77.9$56.3-28%
2023$56.3$31.7-44%
2024$31.7$23.2-27%
2025$23.2$30.2+30%
2026 YTD$30.2$25.9-14%

AMRC has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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