AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over STM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

STM

STMicroelectronics N.V.

61
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

STM's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

STM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

STM's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD has the edge over STM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE127x255x382x510x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE127x255x382x510x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$5.40-88%
Fair21x$11.96-74%
Expensive40x$22.34-52%
Current83x$46.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STM's PE is in its expensive range at 83x.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STM, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STM, with more potential upside for the same potential downside.

STM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$75.50
Downside-20%$37.38

Calculated from the latest close: $46.46 on Nov 12.

STM trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside for the same potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over STM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.45Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.43Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.56
Q4 2023: $4.45Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $2.43Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.56-1.8%
Q2 2026$0.51-25%
Q1 2026$0.16-86%
Q4 2025$0.18-89%
Q3 2025$0.57-77%
Q2 2025$0.68-79%
Q1 2025$1.17-70%
Q4 2024$1.65-63%

STM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.56 over the past year, against $4.89 in early 2023.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over STM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+18%
Q2 2026$3.5B+24%
Q1 2026$3.1B+23%
Q4 2025$3.3B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B-13%
Q1 2025$2.5B-27%
Q4 2024$3.3B-22%

STM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $3.8B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over STM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

STM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: −$135MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: −$261MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: −$62,480Q1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: −$135MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: −$261MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: −$62,480Q1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$121.5M+$139.5M
Q1 2026$155.5M+$182.5M
Q4 2025-$62.5K-100%
Q3 2025$182.4M+9019%
Q2 2025-$261M-2275%
Q1 2025-$27M+$108M
Q4 2024$65M-83%
Q3 2024$2M-100%

STM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $216M over the past year, against −$221M the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over STM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 943MQ1 2024: 942MQ2 2024: 941MQ3 2024: 939MQ4 2024: 936MQ1 2025: 934MQ2 2025: 894MQ3 2025: 919MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 925MQ2 2026: 928MQ3 2026: 932M
Q4 2023: 943MQ1 2024: 942MQ2 2024: 941MQ3 2024: 939MQ4 2024: 936MQ1 2025: 934MQ2 2025: 894MQ3 2025: 919MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 925MQ2 2026: 928MQ3 2026: 932M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+3.7M shares
1 year+1.4%+12.8M shares
3 years-1.3%-12.1M shares
5 years+1%+8.9M shares
Available history+2.4%+21.7M shares

STM has 932M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

STM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

STM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

STM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

STM's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

STM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTMSector medianRelative
PE83x28x198% above
PE %903555 pts above

STM has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over STM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.23.6% below
20 week MA$52.812% below
50 week MA$46.80.6% below
100 week MA$36.228% above
200 week MA$39.019% above

STM has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over STM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.1$36.9+36%
2021$36.9$48.6+32%
2022$48.6$35.9-26%
2023$35.9$50.1+40%
2024$50.1$25.5-49%
2025$25.5$26.2+3%
2026 YTD$26.2$46.5+77%

STM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 77% so far in 2026.

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