AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over SAIC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SAIC

Science Applications International Corporation

59
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

SAIC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SAIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

SAIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SAIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$114-25%
Forward14x$151—
Fair18x$157+3.7%
Current18x$151—
Expensive24x$202+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAIC has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

AMD has the edge over SAIC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SAIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SAIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAIC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SAIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$180.53
Downside-21%$118.80

Calculated from the latest close: $151.24 on Nov 12.

SAIC trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over SAIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.45Q1 2024: $8.88Q2 2024: $8.57Q3 2024: $5.59Q4 2024: $5.96Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $7.11Q3 2025: $8.24Q4 2025: $7.80Q1 2026: $7.70Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $10.73
Q4 2023: $9.45Q1 2024: $8.88Q2 2024: $8.57Q3 2024: $5.59Q4 2024: $5.96Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $7.11Q3 2025: $8.24Q4 2025: $7.80Q1 2026: $7.70Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $10.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.73+25%
Q3 2026$8.56+3.9%
Q2 2026$8.89+25%
Q1 2026$7.70+7.4%
Q4 2025$7.80+31%
Q3 2025$8.24+47%
Q2 2025$7.11-17%
Q1 2025$7.17-19%
Q4 2024$5.96-37%

SAIC earned $8.56 per share over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over SAIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+6.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+1.5%
Q1 2026$1.8B-4.8%
Q4 2025$1.9B-5.6%
Q3 2025$1.8B-2.7%
Q2 2025$1.9B+1.6%
Q1 2025$1.8B+5.8%
Q4 2024$2B+4.3%

SAIC's revenue grew through 2020 and has held roughly level since: $1.9B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over SAIC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131M+14%
Q2 2026$118M+28%
Q1 2026$250M+150%
Q4 2025$120M-10%
Q3 2025$115M-13%
Q2 2025$92M0%
Q1 2025$100M+92%
Q4 2024$134M+38%

SAIC's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $619M over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

SAIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.2M shares
1 year-8.5%-4M shares
3 years-21%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-15.6M shares
Available history-27%-15.5M shares

SAIC has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

SAIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

SAIC's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

SAIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.4Overbought
Stochastic86.2Overbought

SAIC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SAIC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSAICSector medianRelative
PE18x28x37% below
PE %453510 pts above

SAIC has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 193% above its 200-week average.

SAIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$140.18% above
20 week MA$129.717% above
50 week MA$111.935% above
100 week MA$109.938% above
200 week MA$115.131% above

SAIC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 31% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over SAIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.3$96.8+9.7%
2021$96.8$82.4-15%
2022$82.4$109.5+33%
2023$109.5$124.3+14%
2024$124.3$111.1-11%
2025$111.1$102.7-7.6%
2026 YTD$102.7$151.2+47%

SAIC is up 47% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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