AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has a slight edge over PENG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

PENG

Penguin Solutions, Inc.

76
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

PENG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PENG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

PENG's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PENG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$50.10—
Current19x$50.10—
Cheap36x$93.86+87%
Fair66x$171+240%
Expensive83x$215+330%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PENG has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PENG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PENG, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD trails PENG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PENG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+115%$107.94
Downside-25%$37.45

Calculated from the latest close: $50.10 on Nov 12.

PENG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.60 over the past year, up 127% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

PENG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.56+76%
Q3 2026$2.59+793%
Q2 2026$1.41+$1.69
Q1 2026$0.72+$0.89
Q4 2025$0.23+$0.75
Q3 2025$0.29+$1.29
Q2 2025-$0.28+$2.80
Q1 2025-$0.17+$3.51
Q4 2024-$0.52+$3.45

PENG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.59 over the past year, about nine times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over PENG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PENG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$566.7M+68%
Q2 2026$478.7M+48%
Q1 2026$343M-6.2%
Q4 2025$343.1M+0.6%
Q3 2025$337.9M+8.6%
Q2 2025$324.3M+7.9%
Q1 2025$365.5M+28%
Q4 2024$341.1M+24%

PENG's revenue is growing: $567M last quarter, up 68% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over PENG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PENG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$167.4M-$94.1M
Q2 2026-$77.6M-185%
Q1 2026$53.3M-24%
Q4 2025$28.2M+135%
Q3 2025-$73.4M-$55.4M
Q2 2025$90.9M+20%
Q1 2025$70.5M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$12M-55%

PENG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$163M over the past year.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over PENG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PENG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+9M shares
1 year+18%+9.7M shares
3 years+15%+8.5M shares
5 years+24%+12.5M shares
Available history+32%+15.5M shares

PENG has 64M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $74M in buybacks over the past year.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

PENG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20243.0xModerate

PENG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

PENG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic21.3Neutral

PENG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PENG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPENGSector medianRelative
PE19x28x31% below
PE %23533 pts below

PENG has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over PENG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PENG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.011% below
20 week MA$56.812% below
50 week MA$41.022% above
100 week MA$30.962% above
200 week MA$25.696% above

PENG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 96% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over PENG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PENG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$17.7-7.3%
2021$17.7$33.4+89%
2022$33.4$15.3-54%
2023$15.3$18.9+24%
2024$18.9$19.4+2.3%
2025$19.4$20.3+4.7%
2026 YTD$20.3$50.1+147%

PENG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 147% so far in 2026.

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