AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over NVMI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVMI

Nova Ltd.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NVMI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NVMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$328—
Cheap26x$211-36%
Fair39x$313-4.5%
Current41x$328—
Expensive54x$433+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVMI has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVMI, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVMI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$528.27
Downside-20%$262.63

Calculated from the latest close: $327.64 on Nov 12.

NVMI trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over NVMI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVMI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+66%
Q2 2026$8.05+9.5%
Q1 2026$7.99+21%
Q4 2025$8.01+40%
Q3 2025$7.65+43%
Q2 2025$7.35+53%
Q1 2025$6.61+53%
Q4 2024$5.73+34%
Q3 2024$5.34+27%

NVMI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.05 over the past year, up 9.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over NVMI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVMI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$255M+16%
Q1 2026$235.3M+10%
Q4 2025$222.6M+14%
Q3 2025$224.6M+25%
Q2 2025$220M+40%
Q1 2025$213.4M+50%
Q4 2024$194.8M+45%
Q3 2024$179M+39%

NVMI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $255M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over NVMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVMI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$38.4M-10%
Q1 2026$36M-40%
Q4 2025$48.4M-21%
Q3 2025$66.9M+55%
Q2 2025$42.9M-26%
Q1 2025$59.7M+5.3%
Q4 2024$61M+191%
Q3 2024$43.1M-0.2%

NVMI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $190M over the past year, down 8.2% from the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over NVMI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVMI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+7.5%+2.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+2.5M shares
5 years+16%+4.6M shares
Available history+21%+6M shares

NVMI has 34M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

NVMI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.4xVery low

NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

NVMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVMI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVMISector medianRelative
PE41x28x46% above
PE %563521 pts above

NVMI has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over NVMI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$337.93% below
20 week MA$377.613% below
50 week MA$422.923% below
100 week MA$336.02.5% below
200 week MA$242.935% above

NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over NVMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.1$70.3+85%
2021$70.3$137.0+95%
2022$137.0$81.7-40%
2023$81.7$137.4+68%
2024$137.4$200.1+46%
2025$200.1$330.9+65%
2026 YTD$330.9$327.6-1%

NVMI has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 1% so far in 2026.

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